Market icon
Política·Trump

Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?

$154,916 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$154,916 Vol.

Polymarket

Stefan Brodie

$0 Vol.

65%

Donald Brodie

$0 Vol.

62%

Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

49%

Young Thug

$3,983 Vol.

40%

Daniel Penny

$1 Vol.

36%

Ryan Salame

$15,064 Vol.

25%

Steve Bannon

$0 Vol.

24%

Roger Ver

$0 Vol.

21%

Keonne Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

21%

Martin Shkreli

$2,774 Vol.

13%

Eric Adams

$50 Vol.

12%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$9,538 Vol.

9%

Nicolás Maduro

$5,265 Vol.

8%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$35,006 Vol.

7%

Diddy

$5,826 Vol.

7%

Elizabeth Holmes

$915 Vol.

18%

Elon Musk

$48,548 Vol.

7%

Do Kwon

$15,621 Vol.

6%

Antoine Massey

$0 Vol.

5%

Joe Exotic

$330 Vol.

14%

Julian Assange

$1,500 Vol.

10%

Hunter Biden

$0 Vol.

4%

Ele mesmo

$2,448 Vol.

9%

Roger Stone

$0 Vol.

41%

Derek Chauvin

$6,299 Vol.

29%

Edward Snowden

$1,748 Vol.

32%

Bob Menendez

$0 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**President Trump's frequent exercise of unilateral pardon authority since January 2025 has granted over 1,600 acts of clemency, including a blanket pardon for approximately 1,500 January 6 defendants and recent batches like seven on February 12, 2026, for drug conspiracies, tax fraud, and corporate violations.** Early March 2026 reports spotlighted waived restitution exceeding $1.3 billion from fraud cases involving donors to Trump-affiliated PACs, alongside an emerging "pardon industry" where lobbyists secure relief for high-profile inmates. With no grants in the past 30 days, trader consensus weighs ongoing legal pressures on allies, crypto figures, and political cases, as the president's power remains unchecked until 2027 amid midterm dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$154,916
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**President Trump's frequent exercise of unilateral pardon authority since January 2025 has granted over 1,600 acts of clemency, including a blanket pardon for approximately 1,500 January 6 defendants and recent batches like seven on February 12, 2026, for drug conspiracies, tax fraud, and corporate violations.** Early March 2026 reports spotlighted waived restitution exceeding $1.3 billion from fraud cases involving donors to Trump-affiliated PACs, alongside an emerging "pardon industry" where lobbyists secure relief for high-profile inmates. With no grants in the past 30 days, trader consensus weighs ongoing legal pressures on allies, crypto figures, and political cases, as the president's power remains unchecked until 2027 amid midterm dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$154,916
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stefan Brodie" at 65%, followed by "Donald Brodie" at 62%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?" has generated $154.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?" is "Stefan Brodie" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Donald Brodie" at 62%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem Trump perdoará antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.