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Politics·Republican

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

Market icon
Politics·Republican

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

5% chance
Polymarket

$37,996 Vol.

5% chance
Polymarket

$37,996 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 95.1% that the Senate will not pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), driven by a failed cloture vote on March 26, 2026, which fell short at 53-47 amid unified Democratic opposition to the bill's requirements for documentary proof of U.S. citizenship in federal voter registration. The measure passed the House earlier on a party-line basis, but the Senate's 60-vote filibuster threshold remains an insurmountable barrier without bipartisan support, as evidenced by resistance from voting rights advocates, mayors, and tribal leaders. No further floor action is scheduled, with the 119th Congress ending in January 2027; realistic shifts would require unexpected Democratic defections, a rules change, or attachment to must-pass legislation like appropriations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,996
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 95.1% that the Senate will not pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), driven by a failed cloture vote on March 26, 2026, which fell short at 53-47 amid unified Democratic opposition to the bill's requirements for documentary proof of U.S. citizenship in federal voter registration. The measure passed the House earlier on a party-line basis, but the Senate's 60-vote filibuster threshold remains an insurmountable barrier without bipartisan support, as evidenced by resistance from voting rights advocates, mayors, and tribal leaders. No further floor action is scheduled, with the 119th Congress ending in January 2027; realistic shifts would require unexpected Democratic defections, a rules change, or attachment to must-pass legislation like appropriations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,996
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?" has generated $38K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.