A U.S. District Judge Richard Leon's March 31 preliminary injunction halting construction of President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom—ruling no statutory authority exists without congressional approval—has anchored trader consensus at 81.5% for "No" by April 30. The DOJ swiftly appealed to the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals, with a 14-day stay delaying enforcement until mid-April, but judicial timelines and legislative inertia make swift unblocking improbable. The National Trust for Historic Preservation's lawsuit succeeded despite private funding claims and prior design approvals by the Commission of Fine Arts. The National Capital Planning Commission's April 3 vote looms but cannot override the court's directive for congressional authorization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTrump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
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NEW
Apr 30, 2026
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Apr 30, 2026
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A U.S. District Judge Richard Leon's March 31 preliminary injunction halting construction of President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom—ruling no statutory authority exists without congressional approval—has anchored trader consensus at 81.5% for "No" by April 30. The DOJ swiftly appealed to the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals, with a 14-day stay delaying enforcement until mid-April, but judicial timelines and legislative inertia make swift unblocking improbable. The National Trust for Historic Preservation's lawsuit succeeded despite private funding claims and prior design approvals by the Commission of Fine Arts. The National Capital Planning Commission's April 3 vote looms but cannot override the court's directive for congressional authorization.
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
Volume
$709End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A U.S. District Judge Richard Leon's March 31 preliminary injunction halting construction of President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom—ruling no statutory authority exists without congressional approval—has anchored trader consensus at 81.5% for "No" by April 30. The DOJ swiftly appealed to the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals, with a 14-day stay delaying enforcement until mid-April, but judicial timelines and legislative inertia make swift unblocking improbable. The National Trust for Historic Preservation's lawsuit succeeded despite private funding claims and prior design approvals by the Commission of Fine Arts. The National Capital Planning Commission's April 3 vote looms but cannot override the court's directive for congressional authorization.
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$709End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A U.S. District Judge Richard Leon's March 31 preliminary injunction halting construction of President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom—ruling no statutory authority exists without congressional approval—has anchored trader consensus at 81.5% for "No" by April 30. The DOJ swiftly appealed to the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals, with a 14-day stay delaying enforcement until mid-April, but judicial timelines and legislative inertia make swift unblocking improbable. The National Trust for Historic Preservation's lawsuit succeeded despite private funding claims and prior design approvals by the Commission of Fine Arts. The National Capital Planning Commission's April 3 vote looms but cannot override the court's directive for congressional authorization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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