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地緣政治·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: April

icon for Nothing Ever Happens: April
地緣政治·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Ended: 4月 30

5月 31

12月 31

Ended: 4月 30

5月 31

12月 31

Nothing

<1% 機率
Polymarket

$39,918 交易量

Nothing

<1% 機率
Polymarket

$39,918 交易量

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US forces enter Iran - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdfEscalating US-Iran hostilities dominate trader sentiment in the "Nothing Ever Happens: April" market, pricing "Something" at 99.8% implied probability as of April 5, reflecting near-certainty that at least one trigger—such as US forces entering Iran—will occur by April 30. Iranian forces downed a US F-15E and A-10 on April 3-4, the conflict's first aircraft losses since late February airstrikes began, prompting President Trump's threats of imminent strikes on Iranian power plants. WTI crude oil surged past $112 per barrel on supply disruption fears, while the April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms amid inflation pressures from the war. Cuba faces rhetorical escalation but no action yet, and no Epstein-related arrests have materialized. De-escalation via diplomacy remains a slim scenario to avert triggers.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
交易量
$39,918
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US forces enter Iran - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf

已提議結果: Something

無爭議

最終結果: Something

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US forces enter Iran - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdfEscalating US-Iran hostilities dominate trader sentiment in the "Nothing Ever Happens: April" market, pricing "Something" at 99.8% implied probability as of April 5, reflecting near-certainty that at least one trigger—such as US forces entering Iran—will occur by April 30. Iranian forces downed a US F-15E and A-10 on April 3-4, the conflict's first aircraft losses since late February airstrikes began, prompting President Trump's threats of imminent strikes on Iranian power plants. WTI crude oil surged past $112 per barrel on supply disruption fears, while the April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms amid inflation pressures from the war. Cuba faces rhetorical escalation but no action yet, and no Epstein-related arrests have materialized. De-escalation via diplomacy remains a slim scenario to avert triggers.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
交易量
$39,918
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US forces enter Iran - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf

已提議結果: Something

無爭議

最終結果: Something

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nothing Ever Happens: April" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nothing Ever Happens: April" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nothing Ever Happens: April" has generated $39.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nothing Ever Happens: April," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Nothing Ever Happens: April" is "Nothing Ever Happens: April" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Nothing Ever Happens: April" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.