Trader consensus prices "Something" at 67.5% for April's "Nothing Ever Happens" market, primarily reflecting risks of US ground forces entering Iran amid President Trump's April 2 prime-time address declaring the ongoing 2026 Iran war "nearing completion" while vowing "extremely hard" strikes and hinting at escalation, including potential troop deployments. Surging WTI crude oil above $110—driven by Iranian strikes on Gulf neighbors—raises but falls short of the $200 trigger. The Federal Reserve's April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as a catalyst for any policy change, while Attorney General Pam Bondi's April 2 dismissal over Epstein file handling intensifies scrutiny without arrests. No US military action against Cuba reported, following March's resolution to Nothing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Nothing
$10,368 交易量
$10,368 交易量
Nothing
$10,368 交易量
$10,368 交易量
- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- US forces enter Iran
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_April.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Something" at 67.5% for April's "Nothing Ever Happens" market, primarily reflecting risks of US ground forces entering Iran amid President Trump's April 2 prime-time address declaring the ongoing 2026 Iran war "nearing completion" while vowing "extremely hard" strikes and hinting at escalation, including potential troop deployments. Surging WTI crude oil above $110—driven by Iranian strikes on Gulf neighbors—raises but falls short of the $200 trigger. The Federal Reserve's April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as a catalyst for any policy change, while Attorney General Pam Bondi's April 2 dismissal over Epstein file handling intensifies scrutiny without arrests. No US military action against Cuba reported, following March's resolution to Nothing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions