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世界·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Market icon
世界·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: March

3月 31

4月 30

12月 31

3月 31

4月 30

12月 31

什麼都沒有

69% 機率
Polymarket

$317,151 交易量

什麼都沒有

69% 機率
Polymarket

$317,151 交易量

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 69% after the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting on March 18 held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75%, avoiding a rate cut despite market anticipation, while no other triggering events materialized by March 31 deadline. The Iranian regime maintained control amid regional tensions without collapsing; President Trump did not declare a national emergency on election interference despite ally discussions; the Insurrection Act went uninvoked; and the SAVE Act stalled in the Senate without presidential signature. With March concluded and no late-breaking official actions reported, traders reflect low probability of retroactive resolution to "Something," though final U.S. government confirmations could still influence settlement.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
交易量
$317,151
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 69% after the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting on March 18 held interest rates steady at 3.5%-3.75%, avoiding a rate cut despite market anticipation, while no other triggering events materialized by March 31 deadline. The Iranian regime maintained control amid regional tensions without collapsing; President Trump did not declare a national emergency on election interference despite ally discussions; the Insurrection Act went uninvoked; and the SAVE Act stalled in the Senate without presidential signature. With March concluded and no late-breaking official actions reported, traders reflect low probability of retroactive resolution to "Something," though final U.S. government confirmations could still influence settlement.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
交易量
$317,151
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nothing Ever Happens: March" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "什麼都沒有發生：三月" at 69%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nothing Ever Happens: March" has generated $317.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nothing Ever Happens: March," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nothing Ever Happens: March" is "什麼都沒有發生：三月" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nothing Ever Happens: March" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.