Market icon

俄羅斯x烏克蘭和平議會

Market icon

俄羅斯x烏克蘭和平議會

17% 機率
Polymarket

$385,353 交易量

17% 機率
Polymarket

$385,353 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRussia holds commanding recent form with claimed full control of Ukraine's Luhansk region on April 1, denied by Kyiv amid slowed Russian advances and Ukrainian territorial recoveries, framing a gritty playoff matchup where neither side yields ground. Stalled U.S.-mediated peace talks—paused by U.S.-Iran tensions and Russia's dismissal of Zelenskyy's Easter ceasefire offer—underscore defensive standoff dynamics, with no breakthrough lineups or key withdrawals to alter trader consensus. Ongoing spring offensives, bolstered by UK air defense pledges to Ukraine, reinforce the wisdom of crowds pricing No at 83.5%, highlighting significant barriers to parlay resolution amid persistent frontline initiative contests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
交易量
$385,353
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRussia holds commanding recent form with claimed full control of Ukraine's Luhansk region on April 1, denied by Kyiv amid slowed Russian advances and Ukrainian territorial recoveries, framing a gritty playoff matchup where neither side yields ground. Stalled U.S.-mediated peace talks—paused by U.S.-Iran tensions and Russia's dismissal of Zelenskyy's Easter ceasefire offer—underscore defensive standoff dynamics, with no breakthrough lineups or key withdrawals to alter trader consensus. Ongoing spring offensives, bolstered by UK air defense pledges to Ukraine, reinforce the wisdom of crowds pricing No at 83.5%, highlighting significant barriers to parlay resolution amid persistent frontline initiative contests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
交易量
$385,353
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"俄羅斯x烏克蘭和平議會" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "俄烏和平會談" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "俄羅斯x烏克蘭和平議會" has generated $385.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "俄羅斯x烏克蘭和平議會," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "俄羅斯x烏克蘭和平議會" is "俄烏和平會談" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "俄羅斯x烏克蘭和平議會" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.