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真主黨 預測與賠率

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Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

3%

May 31

$143K 交易量

$25.6K Liq.

22

Ends 23 天內

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

11%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$14.0K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

May 31

$28.1K 交易量

$14.7K Liq.

8

Ends 23 天內

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

8%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$517K 交易量

$204K Liq.

12

Ends 23 天內

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

15%

June 30, 2026

$758K 交易量

$19.0K Liq.

44

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

12%

June 30

$589K 交易量

$67.8K Liq.

14

Ends 大約 2 個月內

LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

90%

Citadel Gaming

$42 交易量

$14.5K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

92%

$75.3K 交易量

$12.4K Liq.

12

Ends 23 天內

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

24%

$148K 交易量

$17.7K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 交易量

$141 Liq.

Ends 8 天前

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

40%

$573K 交易量

$31.5K Liq.

143

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

16%

June 30

$35.2K 交易量

$11.7K Liq.

4

Ends 8 天前

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

51%

$119 交易量

$42 Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

89%

Team Falcons

$46.1K 交易量

$90.1K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

1%

US Confirms Aliens Exist

$232K 交易量

$40.7K Liq.

3

Ends 6 個月內

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

67%

<5

$3.2K 交易量

$3.0K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

7%

May 31

$829K 交易量

$21.4K Liq.

45

Ends 23 天內

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

72%

June 30

$14M 交易量

$849K today

$314K Liq.

384

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

54%

<5

$4.5K 交易量

$3.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 21 小時內

Counter-Strike: cirahvi vs TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: cirahvi vs TOOMUCHVIDEOGAMES (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

68%

cirahvi

$0 交易量

$1.9K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 真主黨.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for 真主黨 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 72% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 真主黨 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.