Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

19%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$10.1K Liq.

155

Ends 3 個月內

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

24%

December 31

$925K 交易量

$8.1K Liq.

Ends 3 天前

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

11%

June 30

$582K 交易量

$17.9K Liq.

37

Ends 3 個月內

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

2%

$2M 交易量

$406K today

$366K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

9%

December 31

$546K 交易量

$373K today

$258K Liq.

10

Ends 9 個月內

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

10%

$15M 交易量

$359K today

$536K Liq.

71

Ends 9 個月內

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

10%

$4M 交易量

$261K today

$495K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

30%

$12M 交易量

$74.3K today

$490K Liq.

5,430

Ends 9 個月內

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

43%

No Meeting by June 30

$492K 交易量

$180K Liq.

9

Ends 3 個月內

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

15%

April 30

$275K 交易量

$44.4K Liq.

6

Ends 27 天內

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

13%

$2M 交易量

$124K Liq.

1

Ends 9 個月內

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

9%

$31M 交易量

$442K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Ukraine election held by...?

Ukraine election held by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$2M 交易量

$25.2K Liq.

48

Ends 3 個月前

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

39%

$472K 交易量

$54.7K Liq.

65

Ends 9 個月內

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

21%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$50.3K Liq.

164

Ends 9 個月內

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$2M 交易量

$52.7K Liq.

122

Ends 9 個月內

Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?

Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?

1%

$83.8K 交易量

$26.1K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

39%

$3.2K 交易量

$94.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 年內

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

9%

$146K 交易量

$34.7K Liq.

8

Ends 9 個月內

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

51%

$2.7K 交易量

$120K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 外交政策.

Polymarket currently hosts 137 active markets for 外交政策 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $78.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US strike on Mexico by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 92% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 外交政策 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.