Amid a shaky ceasefire holding in Gaza since October 2025 under a US-backed multi-phase plan, trader focus centers on plans for an international stabilization force to deploy as early as May 2026 for security and reconstruction support. Mid-March reports indicated Israel preparing the multinational mission, with hundreds of foreign troops set to train in Jordan this month before entering Gaza; Morocco recently confirmed its participation alongside potential contributors like Indonesia. Hamas is weighing a US disarmament proposal central to advancing ceasefire phase two, while Palestinian officials urge immediate international intervention amid stalled aid and ongoing Israeli operations. Resolution hinges on verifiable entry of non-Israeli police, security, or military personnel by June 30, with May deployment talks as the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$422,217 交易量

4月30日
8%

6月30日
19%
$422,217 交易量

4月30日
8%

6月30日
19%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid a shaky ceasefire holding in Gaza since October 2025 under a US-backed multi-phase plan, trader focus centers on plans for an international stabilization force to deploy as early as May 2026 for security and reconstruction support. Mid-March reports indicated Israel preparing the multinational mission, with hundreds of foreign troops set to train in Jordan this month before entering Gaza; Morocco recently confirmed its participation alongside potential contributors like Indonesia. Hamas is weighing a US disarmament proposal central to advancing ceasefire phase two, while Palestinian officials urge immediate international intervention amid stalled aid and ongoing Israeli operations. Resolution hinges on verifiable entry of non-Israeli police, security, or military personnel by June 30, with May deployment talks as the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions