Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

75%

June 30

$11M 交易量

$498K today

$513K Liq.

220

Ends 3 個月內

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$5M 交易量

$240K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$585K 交易量

$29.9K Liq.

15

Ends 9 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

4%

$274K 交易量

$67.0K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

46%

No Meeting by June 30

$515K 交易量

$161K Liq.

9

Ends 3 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

39%

$474K 交易量

$48.4K Liq.

72

Ends 9 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

24%

$966K 交易量

$48.0K Liq.

61

Ends 3 個月內

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

71%

December 31

$85M 交易量

$3M today

$3M Liq.

1,426

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

54%

June 30

$1M 交易量

$52.2K Liq.

Ends 3 天前

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

19%

$106K 交易量

$23.9K Liq.

6

Ends 3 個月內

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

44%

$83.0K 交易量

$14.6K Liq.

4

Ends 3 個月內

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

24%

Leadership Change

$30.9K 交易量

$8.1K Liq.

5

Ends 9 個月內

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

12%

$58.3K 交易量

$30.1K Liq.

4

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$105K 交易量

$60.7K Liq.

3

Ends 7 個月內

US forces enter Iran by..?

US forces enter Iran by..?

76%

December 31

$103M 交易量

$4M today

$18M Liq.

6,727

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

13%

$476K 交易量

$76.1K Liq.

29

Ends 9 個月內

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

32%

Nothing

$11.2K 交易量

$14.7K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?

8%

April 30

$210K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

91

Ends 27 天內

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

11%

$33.0K 交易量

$23.2K Liq.

2

Ends 9 個月內

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

8%

April 30

$237K 交易量

$11.9K Liq.

11

Ends 27 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 美國 伊朗.

Polymarket currently hosts 143 active markets for 美國 伊朗 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $209.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US forces enter Iran by..?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US forces enter Iran by..?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 76% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 美國 伊朗 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.