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美國 伊朗 預測與賠率

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US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

1%

$7M 交易量

$462K today

$158K Liq.

Ends 大約 22 小時前

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

36%

$4M 交易量

$144K today

$142K Liq.

Ends 29 天內

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

43%

No Meeting by June 30

$8M 交易量

$56.7K today

$520K Liq.

Ends 29 天內

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

73%

$2M 交易量

$95.9K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

52%

$71.6K 交易量

$51.5K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

73%

December 31

$233M 交易量

$6M today

$2M Liq.

4,772

Ends 7 個月內

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

72%

July 31

$42M 交易量

$137K today

$363K Liq.

6

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

52%

Steve Witkoff

$1M 交易量

$95.9K Liq.

77

Ends 29 天內

US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by...?

US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by...?

27%

June 30

$7.3K 交易量

$18.6K Liq.

Ends 29 天內

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

66%

June 30

$22M 交易量

$1M today

$276K Liq.

301

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

15%

$142K 交易量

$13.1K Liq.

2

Ends 7 個月內

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

7%

December 31

$8M 交易量

$55.9K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

8%

$586K 交易量

$33.5K Liq.

25

Ends 7 個月內

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

21%

December 31

$24M 交易量

$313K today

$583K Liq.

194

Ends 7 個月內

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%

$33M 交易量

$478K today

$576K Liq.

3

Ends 7 個月內

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

98%

$873K 交易量

$76.1K Liq.

72

Ends 29 天內

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

27%

June 30

$192K 交易量

$36.0K Liq.

3

Ends 29 天內

Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?

Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?

97%

No Replacement

$59.6K 交易量

$7.2K Liq.

3

Ends 3 個月內

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

1%

Oil Sanction Relief

$8M 交易量

$200K today

$187K Liq.

Ends 大約 22 小時前

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

45%

Oil Sanction Relief

$275K 交易量

$99.0K today

$165K Liq.

Ends 29 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 117 active markets for 美國 伊朗 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $394.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 73% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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