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icon for Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

icon for Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

14% 機率
Polymarket

$12,413 交易量

14% 機率
Polymarket

$12,413 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President. The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan congressional skepticism toward any U.S.-Iran agreement, particularly one involving sanctions relief or economic incentives, has reinforced trader expectations that Congress will not grant formal approval in 2026. Following the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that outlined a 60-day negotiation window on nuclear issues and related matters, lawmakers from both parties demanded the text under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act and signaled intent to exercise oversight or require a vote. Senate Republicans, including committee chairs, publicly criticized provisions such as financial commitments to Iran and called the interim framework inconsistent with administration goals, while broader concerns over verification, regional security, and sanctions policy persist. Ongoing tensions, including periodic military actions and incomplete implementation of the ceasefire terms, have further limited momentum for legislative consensus before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$12,413
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President. The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President. The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan congressional skepticism toward any U.S.-Iran agreement, particularly one involving sanctions relief or economic incentives, has reinforced trader expectations that Congress will not grant formal approval in 2026. Following the June 2026 memorandum of understanding that outlined a 60-day negotiation window on nuclear issues and related matters, lawmakers from both parties demanded the text under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act and signaled intent to exercise oversight or require a vote. Senate Republicans, including committee chairs, publicly criticized provisions such as financial commitments to Iran and called the interim framework inconsistent with administration goals, while broader concerns over verification, regional security, and sanctions policy persist. Ongoing tensions, including periodic military actions and incomplete implementation of the ceasefire terms, have further limited momentum for legislative consensus before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$12,413
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President. The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 14% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 14¢, the market collectively assigns a 14% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?" has generated $12.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?" is 14% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 14% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.