US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$179,103 交易量
2026-08-31
唐納德·特朗普
否
Pete Hegseth
No
馬吉德·塔赫特-拉萬奇
否
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
No
Steve Witkoff
No
Masoud Pezeshkian
No
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
No
賈里德·庫什納
否
Mojtaba Khamenei
No
Esmail Qaani
No
馬可·魯比奧
否
Abbas Araghchi
No
Kazem Gharibabadi
No
伊沙克·達爾
否
J.D. Vance
否
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
No
Ahmad Vahidi
No
Rafael Grossi
No
尼克·斯圖爾特
否
$179,103 交易量
唐納德·特朗普
$14,129 交易量
否
Pete Hegseth
$4,790 交易量
No
馬吉德·塔赫特-拉萬奇
$4,182 交易量
否
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$569 交易量
No
Steve Witkoff
$27,627 交易量
No
Masoud Pezeshkian
$8,722 交易量
No
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$2,304 交易量
No
賈里德·庫什納
$28,640 交易量
否
Mojtaba Khamenei
$8,115 交易量
No
Esmail Qaani
$4,541 交易量
No
馬可·魯比奧
$8,092 交易量
否
Abbas Araghchi
$9,968 交易量
No
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,972 交易量
No
伊沙克·達爾
$3,178 交易量
否
J.D. Vance
$25,409 交易量
否
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$13,930 交易量
No
Ahmad Vahidi
$9,727 交易量
No
Rafael Grossi
$1,430 交易量
No
尼克·斯圖爾特
$1,777 交易量
否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
交易量
$179,103結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$179,103結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions