US-Iran military conflict, now in its 35th day as of early April 2026, stems from US-Israeli airstrikes launched February 28 targeting Iranian missile sites, air defenses, nuclear facilities, and leadership, killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and prompting Iranian ballistic missile and drone retaliations, including claimed downing of a US F-35 over Tehran. President Trump has described operations as war, vowing intensified strikes on infrastructure unless Iran capitulates, but no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred—strikes proceed under executive authority amid bipartisan criticism and calls for a war powers resolution. Diplomatic pushes, including Pakistan-mediated talks and a 40-nation summit on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, offer de-escalation paths, while historical precedent favors limited engagements over full declarations last seen in World War II. Traders weigh congressional hurdles, escalation risks, and negotiation timelines against resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$5,189,642 交易量
2026-04-30
4月30日
1%
12月31日
8%
$5,189,642 交易量
4月30日
$312,381 交易量
1%
12月31日
$328,103 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran military conflict, now in its 35th day as of early April 2026, stems from US-Israeli airstrikes launched February 28 targeting Iranian missile sites, air defenses, nuclear facilities, and leadership, killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and prompting Iranian ballistic missile and drone retaliations, including claimed downing of a US F-35 over Tehran. President Trump has described operations as war, vowing intensified strikes on infrastructure unless Iran capitulates, but no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred—strikes proceed under executive authority amid bipartisan criticism and calls for a war powers resolution. Diplomatic pushes, including Pakistan-mediated talks and a 40-nation summit on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, offer de-escalation paths, while historical precedent favors limited engagements over full declarations last seen in World War II. Traders weigh congressional hurdles, escalation risks, and negotiation timelines against resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
交易量
$5,189,642結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran military conflict, now in its 35th day as of early April 2026, stems from US-Israeli airstrikes launched February 28 targeting Iranian missile sites, air defenses, nuclear facilities, and leadership, killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and prompting Iranian ballistic missile and drone retaliations, including claimed downing of a US F-35 over Tehran. President Trump has described operations as war, vowing intensified strikes on infrastructure unless Iran capitulates, but no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred—strikes proceed under executive authority amid bipartisan criticism and calls for a war powers resolution. Diplomatic pushes, including Pakistan-mediated talks and a 40-nation summit on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, offer de-escalation paths, while historical precedent favors limited engagements over full declarations last seen in World War II. Traders weigh congressional hurdles, escalation risks, and negotiation timelines against resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$5,189,642結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran military conflict, now in its 35th day as of early April 2026, stems from US-Israeli airstrikes launched February 28 targeting Iranian missile sites, air defenses, nuclear facilities, and leadership, killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and prompting Iranian ballistic missile and drone retaliations, including claimed downing of a US F-35 over Tehran. President Trump has described operations as war, vowing intensified strikes on infrastructure unless Iran capitulates, but no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred—strikes proceed under executive authority amid bipartisan criticism and calls for a war powers resolution. Diplomatic pushes, including Pakistan-mediated talks and a 40-nation summit on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, offer de-escalation paths, while historical precedent favors limited engagements over full declarations last seen in World War II. Traders weigh congressional hurdles, escalation risks, and negotiation timelines against resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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