Recent US-Iran military operations since February 2026 have proceeded without a congressional declaration of war, consistent with post-1945 precedents where presidents have authorized strikes and blockades under Article II authorities rather than seeking formal war declarations. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding ended major hostilities, lifted the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and set a 60-day window for nuclear negotiations that traders are monitoring amid persistent disputes over shipping access and sanctions relief. As of mid-August, diplomatic efforts continue through intermediaries with no verified congressional action or escalation to declared war, though expiring deal deadlines and Hormuz frictions remain key variables that could influence legislative consideration before any resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$7,765,902 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
3%
$7,765,902 交易量
12月31日
$793,268 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Recent US-Iran military operations since February 2026 have proceeded without a congressional declaration of war, consistent with post-1945 precedents where presidents have authorized strikes and blockades under Article II authorities rather than seeking formal war declarations. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding ended major hostilities, lifted the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and set a 60-day window for nuclear negotiations that traders are monitoring amid persistent disputes over shipping access and sanctions relief. As of mid-August, diplomatic efforts continue through intermediaries with no verified congressional action or escalation to declared war, though expiring deal deadlines and Hormuz frictions remain key variables that could influence legislative consideration before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,765,902結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Recent US-Iran military operations since February 2026 have proceeded without a congressional declaration of war, consistent with post-1945 precedents where presidents have authorized strikes and blockades under Article II authorities rather than seeking formal war declarations. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding ended major hostilities, lifted the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and set a 60-day window for nuclear negotiations that traders are monitoring amid persistent disputes over shipping access and sanctions relief. As of mid-August, diplomatic efforts continue through intermediaries with no verified congressional action or escalation to declared war, though expiring deal deadlines and Hormuz frictions remain key variables that could influence legislative consideration before any resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,765,902結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran military operations since February 2026 have proceeded without a congressional declaration of war, consistent with post-1945 precedents where presidents have authorized strikes and blockades under Article II authorities rather than seeking formal war declarations. A June 2026 memorandum of understanding ended major hostilities, lifted the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and set a 60-day window for nuclear negotiations that traders are monitoring amid persistent disputes over shipping access and sanctions relief. As of mid-August, diplomatic efforts continue through intermediaries with no verified congressional action or escalation to declared war, though expiring deal deadlines and Hormuz frictions remain key variables that could influence legislative consideration before any resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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