**IAEA access to Iran's Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan enrichment and storage sites remains blocked since the June 2025 Israel-US strikes and subsequent February-March 2026 attacks.** The agency has conducted no verification activities at these facilities for over a year, losing continuity of knowledge on stockpiles of uranium enriched up to 60 percent, centrifuge status, and related materials. Recent IAEA reports highlight satellite-observed vehicle activity at Isfahan tunnels and damage at Natanz but stress that inspectors cannot confirm the location, quantity, or condition of nuclear material without on-site visits. Iran has permitted limited inspections only at unaffected sites such as Bushehr, while conditioning broader access on new protocols for struck facilities and progress in US sanctions relief talks. An interim June 2026 understanding collapsed without restoring full safeguards cooperation. Diplomatic efforts continue under IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi, with upcoming Board of Governors meetings potentially influencing any near-term resumption.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$374,320 交易量
2026-10-31
10月31日
4%
12月31日
13%
$374,320 交易量
10月31日
$83,994 交易量
4%
12月31日
$36,927 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.**IAEA access to Iran's Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan enrichment and storage sites remains blocked since the June 2025 Israel-US strikes and subsequent February-March 2026 attacks.** The agency has conducted no verification activities at these facilities for over a year, losing continuity of knowledge on stockpiles of uranium enriched up to 60 percent, centrifuge status, and related materials. Recent IAEA reports highlight satellite-observed vehicle activity at Isfahan tunnels and damage at Natanz but stress that inspectors cannot confirm the location, quantity, or condition of nuclear material without on-site visits. Iran has permitted limited inspections only at unaffected sites such as Bushehr, while conditioning broader access on new protocols for struck facilities and progress in US sanctions relief talks. An interim June 2026 understanding collapsed without restoring full safeguards cooperation. Diplomatic efforts continue under IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi, with upcoming Board of Governors meetings potentially influencing any near-term resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
交易量
$374,320結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.**IAEA access to Iran's Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan enrichment and storage sites remains blocked since the June 2025 Israel-US strikes and subsequent February-March 2026 attacks.** The agency has conducted no verification activities at these facilities for over a year, losing continuity of knowledge on stockpiles of uranium enriched up to 60 percent, centrifuge status, and related materials. Recent IAEA reports highlight satellite-observed vehicle activity at Isfahan tunnels and damage at Natanz but stress that inspectors cannot confirm the location, quantity, or condition of nuclear material without on-site visits. Iran has permitted limited inspections only at unaffected sites such as Bushehr, while conditioning broader access on new protocols for struck facilities and progress in US sanctions relief talks. An interim June 2026 understanding collapsed without restoring full safeguards cooperation. Diplomatic efforts continue under IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi, with upcoming Board of Governors meetings potentially influencing any near-term resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$374,320結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET**IAEA access to Iran's Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan enrichment and storage sites remains blocked since the June 2025 Israel-US strikes and subsequent February-March 2026 attacks.** The agency has conducted no verification activities at these facilities for over a year, losing continuity of knowledge on stockpiles of uranium enriched up to 60 percent, centrifuge status, and related materials. Recent IAEA reports highlight satellite-observed vehicle activity at Isfahan tunnels and damage at Natanz but stress that inspectors cannot confirm the location, quantity, or condition of nuclear material without on-site visits. Iran has permitted limited inspections only at unaffected sites such as Bushehr, while conditioning broader access on new protocols for struck facilities and progress in US sanctions relief talks. An interim June 2026 understanding collapsed without restoring full safeguards cooperation. Diplomatic efforts continue under IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi, with upcoming Board of Governors meetings potentially influencing any near-term resumption.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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