Ongoing US-Iran negotiations since early 2026 have produced preliminary memorandums focused on ending hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions relief, but nuclear issues including uranium enrichment limits remain deferred to future phases. Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under IAEA oversight for civilian purposes and has rejected zero-enrichment demands, instead proposing temporary pauses of up to 15 years followed by limited low-level activity or stockpile dilution rather than full termination. US positions emphasize permanent suspension, facility dismantlement, and removal of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, creating persistent gaps. As of early June 2026, Iranian officials have conditioned deeper talks on immediate economic concessions and ceasefires elsewhere, with no verified commitments to end enrichment by year-end. These entrenched positions and sequencing disputes underpin traders' modest lean toward no agreement by December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$514,175 交易量
$514,175 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$514,175 交易量
$514,175 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran negotiations since early 2026 have produced preliminary memorandums focused on ending hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions relief, but nuclear issues including uranium enrichment limits remain deferred to future phases. Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under IAEA oversight for civilian purposes and has rejected zero-enrichment demands, instead proposing temporary pauses of up to 15 years followed by limited low-level activity or stockpile dilution rather than full termination. US positions emphasize permanent suspension, facility dismantlement, and removal of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, creating persistent gaps. As of early June 2026, Iranian officials have conditioned deeper talks on immediate economic concessions and ceasefires elsewhere, with no verified commitments to end enrichment by year-end. These entrenched positions and sequencing disputes underpin traders' modest lean toward no agreement by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
交易量
$514,175結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran negotiations since early 2026 have produced preliminary memorandums focused on ending hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions relief, but nuclear issues including uranium enrichment limits remain deferred to future phases. Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under IAEA oversight for civilian purposes and has rejected zero-enrichment demands, instead proposing temporary pauses of up to 15 years followed by limited low-level activity or stockpile dilution rather than full termination. US positions emphasize permanent suspension, facility dismantlement, and removal of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, creating persistent gaps. As of early June 2026, Iranian officials have conditioned deeper talks on immediate economic concessions and ceasefires elsewhere, with no verified commitments to end enrichment by year-end. These entrenched positions and sequencing disputes underpin traders' modest lean toward no agreement by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$514,175結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations since early 2026 have produced preliminary memorandums focused on ending hostilities, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions relief, but nuclear issues including uranium enrichment limits remain deferred to future phases. Iran continues to assert its right to enrichment under IAEA oversight for civilian purposes and has rejected zero-enrichment demands, instead proposing temporary pauses of up to 15 years followed by limited low-level activity or stockpile dilution rather than full termination. US positions emphasize permanent suspension, facility dismantlement, and removal of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, creating persistent gaps. As of early June 2026, Iranian officials have conditioned deeper talks on immediate economic concessions and ceasefires elsewhere, with no verified commitments to end enrichment by year-end. These entrenched positions and sequencing disputes underpin traders' modest lean toward no agreement by December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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