Recent Israeli Air Force strikes on March 27-29 targeted Iran's uranium processing facility in Yazd and Arak heavy water plant, part of a broader U.S.-Israel campaign damaging key enrichment and ballistic missile sites, as confirmed by IDF statements and IAEA monitoring showing no radiation leaks. A February IAEA report verified Iran's 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium but found no coordinated nuclear weapons program, with subsequent military actions extending breakout time—the period to produce weapons-grade material—well beyond 2027. Ongoing airstrikes and diplomatic isolation have solidified trader consensus at 89.5% for "No," though late escalations or leadership shifts could alter trajectories ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$460,870 交易量
$460,870 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$460,870 交易量
$460,870 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".Recent Israeli Air Force strikes on March 27-29 targeted Iran's uranium processing facility in Yazd and Arak heavy water plant, part of a broader U.S.-Israel campaign damaging key enrichment and ballistic missile sites, as confirmed by IDF statements and IAEA monitoring showing no radiation leaks. A February IAEA report verified Iran's 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium but found no coordinated nuclear weapons program, with subsequent military actions extending breakout time—the period to produce weapons-grade material—well beyond 2027. Ongoing airstrikes and diplomatic isolation have solidified trader consensus at 89.5% for "No," though late escalations or leadership shifts could alter trajectories ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
市場開放時間： Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
交易量
$460,870結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".Recent Israeli Air Force strikes on March 27-29 targeted Iran's uranium processing facility in Yazd and Arak heavy water plant, part of a broader U.S.-Israel campaign damaging key enrichment and ballistic missile sites, as confirmed by IDF statements and IAEA monitoring showing no radiation leaks. A February IAEA report verified Iran's 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium but found no coordinated nuclear weapons program, with subsequent military actions extending breakout time—the period to produce weapons-grade material—well beyond 2027. Ongoing airstrikes and diplomatic isolation have solidified trader consensus at 89.5% for "No," though late escalations or leadership shifts could alter trajectories ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$460,870結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Israeli Air Force strikes on March 27-29 targeted Iran's uranium processing facility in Yazd and Arak heavy water plant, part of a broader U.S.-Israel campaign damaging key enrichment and ballistic missile sites, as confirmed by IDF statements and IAEA monitoring showing no radiation leaks. A February IAEA report verified Iran's 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium but found no coordinated nuclear weapons program, with subsequent military actions extending breakout time—the period to produce weapons-grade material—well beyond 2027. Ongoing airstrikes and diplomatic isolation have solidified trader consensus at 89.5% for "No," though late escalations or leadership shifts could alter trajectories ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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