President Trump initiated U.S. military strikes on Iran alongside Israel on February 28, 2026, without congressional authorization, sparking an ongoing campaign that has resulted in Iranian retaliatory attacks, the deaths of U.S. service members, and reported strikes on key infrastructure like bridges. Recent escalations include Iran's claim of downing a U.S. fighter jet and Trump's April 2 warnings of intensified assaults on power plants and oil facilities unless a deal emerges, projecting operations could wrap in two to three weeks. No formal war declaration—requiring congressional action per the Constitution—has materialized, amid historical precedents of presidents using airstrikes under the War Powers Resolution and signals of potential diplomacy or de-escalation talks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$574,882 交易量
2026-04-30
4月30日
5%
$574,882 交易量
4月30日
$22,786 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump initiated U.S. military strikes on Iran alongside Israel on February 28, 2026, without congressional authorization, sparking an ongoing campaign that has resulted in Iranian retaliatory attacks, the deaths of U.S. service members, and reported strikes on key infrastructure like bridges. Recent escalations include Iran's claim of downing a U.S. fighter jet and Trump's April 2 warnings of intensified assaults on power plants and oil facilities unless a deal emerges, projecting operations could wrap in two to three weeks. No formal war declaration—requiring congressional action per the Constitution—has materialized, amid historical precedents of presidents using airstrikes under the War Powers Resolution and signals of potential diplomacy or de-escalation talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
交易量
$574,882結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump initiated U.S. military strikes on Iran alongside Israel on February 28, 2026, without congressional authorization, sparking an ongoing campaign that has resulted in Iranian retaliatory attacks, the deaths of U.S. service members, and reported strikes on key infrastructure like bridges. Recent escalations include Iran's claim of downing a U.S. fighter jet and Trump's April 2 warnings of intensified assaults on power plants and oil facilities unless a deal emerges, projecting operations could wrap in two to three weeks. No formal war declaration—requiring congressional action per the Constitution—has materialized, amid historical precedents of presidents using airstrikes under the War Powers Resolution and signals of potential diplomacy or de-escalation talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$574,882結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump initiated U.S. military strikes on Iran alongside Israel on February 28, 2026, without congressional authorization, sparking an ongoing campaign that has resulted in Iranian retaliatory attacks, the deaths of U.S. service members, and reported strikes on key infrastructure like bridges. Recent escalations include Iran's claim of downing a U.S. fighter jet and Trump's April 2 warnings of intensified assaults on power plants and oil facilities unless a deal emerges, projecting operations could wrap in two to three weeks. No formal war declaration—requiring congressional action per the Constitution—has materialized, amid historical precedents of presidents using airstrikes under the War Powers Resolution and signals of potential diplomacy or de-escalation talks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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