Skip to main content

特朗普 預測與賠率

·
美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?

美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?

79%

12月31日

$211M 交易量

$11M today

$2M Liq.

4,679

Ends 7 個月內

美國會在…前正式向委內瑞拉宣戰嗎?

美國會在…前正式向委內瑞拉宣戰嗎?

2%

2026年6月30日

$3M 交易量

$2M today

$39.9K Liq.

37

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

10%

May 30

$2M 交易量

$1M today

$517K Liq.

40

Ends 2 天內

特朗普宣布美國解除對霍爾木茲的封鎖... ?

特朗普宣布美國解除對霍爾木茲的封鎖... ?

69%

6月30日

$23M 交易量

$607K today

$253K Liq.

520

Ends 大約 1 個月內

到5月31日,特朗普會同意伊朗的哪些要求?

到5月31日,特朗普會同意伊朗的哪些要求?

25%

石油制裁解除

$8M 交易量

$525K today

$190K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

伊朗同意在…前交出濃縮鈾庫存?

伊朗同意在…前交出濃縮鈾庫存?

48%

12月31日

$12M 交易量

$396K today

$269K Liq.

175

Ends 7 個月內

美國x伊朗的外交會議在... ?

美國x伊朗的外交會議在... ?

85%

7月31日

$42M 交易量

$348K today

$274K Liq.

6

Ends 29 天前

美國會在2027年之前入侵伊朗嗎?

美國會在2027年之前入侵伊朗嗎?

17%

$33M 交易量

$262K today

$423K Liq.

3

Ends 7 個月內

美國通過...獲得伊朗濃縮鈾?

美國通過...獲得伊朗濃縮鈾?

22%

12月31日

$23M 交易量

$261K today

$504K Liq.

182

Ends 7 個月內

俄羅斯x烏克蘭停火協議由... ?

俄羅斯x烏克蘭停火協議由... ?

44%

12月31日

$2M 交易量

$156K today

$271K Liq.

73

Ends 7 個月內

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

22%

20+

$1M 交易量

$133K today

$123K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

<1%

$3M 交易量

$132K today

$884K Liq.

1

Ends 2 天內

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

32%

June 30

$1M 交易量

$104K today

$94.5K Liq.

70

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will Alberta join the US?

Will Alberta join the US?

4%

$717K 交易量

$86.0K today

$56.2K Liq.

7

Ends 7 個月內

下一次美伊外交會議將在哪裡舉行?

下一次美伊外交會議將在哪裡舉行?

46%

巴基斯坦

$8M 交易量

$83.2K today

$510K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

2%

$150K 交易量

$81.4K today

$75.7K Liq.

委內瑞拉領導人2026年底?

委內瑞拉領導人2026年底?

68%

尼古拉斯·馬杜羅

$89M 交易量

$79.4K today

$2M Liq.

344

Ends 7 個月內

伊朗政權會在2027年之前倒臺嗎?

伊朗政權會在2027年之前倒臺嗎?

14%

$19M 交易量

$61.3K today

$214K Liq.

6

Ends 7 個月內

JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

9%

December 31

$70.2K 交易量

$59.3K today

$224K Liq.

2

Ends 7 個月內

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

59%

Oil Sanction Relief

$91.0K 交易量

$122K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 特朗普.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for 特朗普 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $480.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “伊朗政權會在2027年之前倒臺嗎?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 79% chance to 12月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 特朗普 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.