Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30, reflecting the absence of any announced in-person summit plans despite recent phone discussions between the leaders on March 9, 2026, covering the Ukraine war and Iran tensions. Their last face-to-face encounter occurred in August 2025 at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson in Alaska, focused on Ukraine, but subsequent efforts like a proposed Budapest summit fizzled amid White House statements in October 2025 denying near-term arrangements. Ongoing geopolitical frictions—including stalled Ukraine peace talks, Russia's front-line advances, and U.S. considerations of NATO withdrawal—have dampened expectations for bilateral diplomacy, with low probabilities assigned to specific locations absent concrete diplomatic signals or scheduled summits.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於6月30日之前沒有會面 87.8%
其他歐盟國家 2.8%
海灣國家 2.2%
美國 2.0%
$4,620,147 交易量
$4,620,147 交易量

6月30日之前沒有會面
88%

其他歐盟國家
3%

海灣國家
2%

美國
2%

其他
2%

土耳其
2%

俄羅斯
1%

中國
1%

白俄羅斯
1%

瑞士
1%

日本
<1%

芬蘭
<1%

南韓
<1%

烏克蘭
<1%

澳洲
<1%
6月30日之前沒有會面 87.8%
其他歐盟國家 2.8%
海灣國家 2.2%
美國 2.0%
$4,620,147 交易量
$4,620,147 交易量

6月30日之前沒有會面
88%

其他歐盟國家
3%

海灣國家
2%

美國
2%

其他
2%

土耳其
2%

俄羅斯
1%

中國
1%

白俄羅斯
1%

瑞士
1%

日本
<1%

芬蘭
<1%

南韓
<1%

烏克蘭
<1%

澳洲
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30, reflecting the absence of any announced in-person summit plans despite recent phone discussions between the leaders on March 9, 2026, covering the Ukraine war and Iran tensions. Their last face-to-face encounter occurred in August 2025 at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson in Alaska, focused on Ukraine, but subsequent efforts like a proposed Budapest summit fizzled amid White House statements in October 2025 denying near-term arrangements. Ongoing geopolitical frictions—including stalled Ukraine peace talks, Russia's front-line advances, and U.S. considerations of NATO withdrawal—have dampened expectations for bilateral diplomacy, with low probabilities assigned to specific locations absent concrete diplomatic signals or scheduled summits.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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