The overwhelming trader consensus against Alberta joining the United States reflects the province's entrenched status within Canada, with no official proposals, constitutional pathways, or institutional momentum supporting annexation or statehood. Recent developments center on Alberta's October 19, 2026 referendum, which asks voters whether to remain in Canada or advance a binding vote on separation under the Clarity Act framework, while polls consistently show majority support for continued Canadian provincial status. Separatist petitions and limited contacts between fringe groups and U.S. officials have surfaced, yet these have produced no commitments, endorsements, or policy shifts from either the Alberta or federal governments, and expressions of interest in U.S. alignment remain marginal. Structural barriers, including federal sovereignty requirements and lack of electoral viability, continue to anchor the implied probability near 95 percent No.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$2,008,276 交易量
$2,008,276 交易量
2026-12-31
$2,008,276 交易量
$2,008,276 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.The overwhelming trader consensus against Alberta joining the United States reflects the province's entrenched status within Canada, with no official proposals, constitutional pathways, or institutional momentum supporting annexation or statehood. Recent developments center on Alberta's October 19, 2026 referendum, which asks voters whether to remain in Canada or advance a binding vote on separation under the Clarity Act framework, while polls consistently show majority support for continued Canadian provincial status. Separatist petitions and limited contacts between fringe groups and U.S. officials have surfaced, yet these have produced no commitments, endorsements, or policy shifts from either the Alberta or federal governments, and expressions of interest in U.S. alignment remain marginal. Structural barriers, including federal sovereignty requirements and lack of electoral viability, continue to anchor the implied probability near 95 percent No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市場開放時間： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,008,276結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.The overwhelming trader consensus against Alberta joining the United States reflects the province's entrenched status within Canada, with no official proposals, constitutional pathways, or institutional momentum supporting annexation or statehood. Recent developments center on Alberta's October 19, 2026 referendum, which asks voters whether to remain in Canada or advance a binding vote on separation under the Clarity Act framework, while polls consistently show majority support for continued Canadian provincial status. Separatist petitions and limited contacts between fringe groups and U.S. officials have surfaced, yet these have produced no commitments, endorsements, or policy shifts from either the Alberta or federal governments, and expressions of interest in U.S. alignment remain marginal. Structural barriers, including federal sovereignty requirements and lack of electoral viability, continue to anchor the implied probability near 95 percent No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$2,009,962結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The overwhelming trader consensus against Alberta joining the United States reflects the province's entrenched status within Canada, with no official proposals, constitutional pathways, or institutional momentum supporting annexation or statehood. Recent developments center on Alberta's October 19, 2026 referendum, which asks voters whether to remain in Canada or advance a binding vote on separation under the Clarity Act framework, while polls consistently show majority support for continued Canadian provincial status. Separatist petitions and limited contacts between fringe groups and U.S. officials have surfaced, yet these have produced no commitments, endorsements, or policy shifts from either the Alberta or federal governments, and expressions of interest in U.S. alignment remain marginal. Structural barriers, including federal sovereignty requirements and lack of electoral viability, continue to anchor the implied probability near 95 percent No.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions