Legal and constitutional barriers in both Canada and the United States, combined with negligible public support, underpin trader expectations that Alberta will not join the United States. Any path would require a successful independence referendum under Canada’s Clarity Act, followed by negotiations, federal approvals, and U.S. congressional action for statehood—steps with no precedent and facing strong opposition from Ottawa and most Albertans. Recent polling shows annexation support below 20 percent in the province, even amid separatist petition drives and U.S. tariff tensions. Fringe groups have held meetings with Trump administration contacts and floated loans or integration ideas, yet mainstream parties and polls indicate these remain marginal. Late shifts could stem only from unforeseen crises altering voter sentiment or bilateral relations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於<1% 機率
$2,192,053 交易量
$2,192,053 交易量
2026-12-31
<1% 機率
$2,192,053 交易量
$2,192,053 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Legal and constitutional barriers in both Canada and the United States, combined with negligible public support, underpin trader expectations that Alberta will not join the United States. Any path would require a successful independence referendum under Canada’s Clarity Act, followed by negotiations, federal approvals, and U.S. congressional action for statehood—steps with no precedent and facing strong opposition from Ottawa and most Albertans. Recent polling shows annexation support below 20 percent in the province, even amid separatist petition drives and U.S. tariff tensions. Fringe groups have held meetings with Trump administration contacts and floated loans or integration ideas, yet mainstream parties and polls indicate these remain marginal. Late shifts could stem only from unforeseen crises altering voter sentiment or bilateral relations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市場開放時間： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,192,053結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Legal and constitutional barriers in both Canada and the United States, combined with negligible public support, underpin trader expectations that Alberta will not join the United States. Any path would require a successful independence referendum under Canada’s Clarity Act, followed by negotiations, federal approvals, and U.S. congressional action for statehood—steps with no precedent and facing strong opposition from Ottawa and most Albertans. Recent polling shows annexation support below 20 percent in the province, even amid separatist petition drives and U.S. tariff tensions. Fringe groups have held meetings with Trump administration contacts and floated loans or integration ideas, yet mainstream parties and polls indicate these remain marginal. Late shifts could stem only from unforeseen crises altering voter sentiment or bilateral relations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$2,192,053結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETLegal and constitutional barriers in both Canada and the United States, combined with negligible public support, underpin trader expectations that Alberta will not join the United States. Any path would require a successful independence referendum under Canada’s Clarity Act, followed by negotiations, federal approvals, and U.S. congressional action for statehood—steps with no precedent and facing strong opposition from Ottawa and most Albertans. Recent polling shows annexation support below 20 percent in the province, even amid separatist petition drives and U.S. tariff tensions. Fringe groups have held meetings with Trump administration contacts and floated loans or integration ideas, yet mainstream parties and polls indicate these remain marginal. Late shifts could stem only from unforeseen crises altering voter sentiment or bilateral relations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions