Alberta's path to U.S. statehood faces insurmountable constitutional, legislative, and political barriers on both sides of the border, driving the near-certain trader consensus against the outcome. The province's ongoing separatist movement centers on sovereignty within or outside Canada, with a non-binding October 2026 referendum addressing whether to pursue a future binding vote on independence rather than annexation. Premier Danielle Smith and the provincial government have reaffirmed support for remaining in Canada, while polls show limited backing for U.S. integration. U.S. congressional approval, Canadian constitutional amendments, treaty considerations, and voter ratification would all be required, with no active bilateral process underway. Late developments such as major shifts in federal leadership, referendum results, or diplomatic overtures could theoretically reopen discussion, though such changes remain distant given current alignments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於<1% 機率
$2,192,053 交易量
$2,192,053 交易量
2026-12-31
<1% 機率
$2,192,053 交易量
$2,192,053 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Alberta's path to U.S. statehood faces insurmountable constitutional, legislative, and political barriers on both sides of the border, driving the near-certain trader consensus against the outcome. The province's ongoing separatist movement centers on sovereignty within or outside Canada, with a non-binding October 2026 referendum addressing whether to pursue a future binding vote on independence rather than annexation. Premier Danielle Smith and the provincial government have reaffirmed support for remaining in Canada, while polls show limited backing for U.S. integration. U.S. congressional approval, Canadian constitutional amendments, treaty considerations, and voter ratification would all be required, with no active bilateral process underway. Late developments such as major shifts in federal leadership, referendum results, or diplomatic overtures could theoretically reopen discussion, though such changes remain distant given current alignments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市場開放時間： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,192,053結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Alberta's path to U.S. statehood faces insurmountable constitutional, legislative, and political barriers on both sides of the border, driving the near-certain trader consensus against the outcome. The province's ongoing separatist movement centers on sovereignty within or outside Canada, with a non-binding October 2026 referendum addressing whether to pursue a future binding vote on independence rather than annexation. Premier Danielle Smith and the provincial government have reaffirmed support for remaining in Canada, while polls show limited backing for U.S. integration. U.S. congressional approval, Canadian constitutional amendments, treaty considerations, and voter ratification would all be required, with no active bilateral process underway. Late developments such as major shifts in federal leadership, referendum results, or diplomatic overtures could theoretically reopen discussion, though such changes remain distant given current alignments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$2,192,053結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETAlberta's path to U.S. statehood faces insurmountable constitutional, legislative, and political barriers on both sides of the border, driving the near-certain trader consensus against the outcome. The province's ongoing separatist movement centers on sovereignty within or outside Canada, with a non-binding October 2026 referendum addressing whether to pursue a future binding vote on independence rather than annexation. Premier Danielle Smith and the provincial government have reaffirmed support for remaining in Canada, while polls show limited backing for U.S. integration. U.S. congressional approval, Canadian constitutional amendments, treaty considerations, and voter ratification would all be required, with no active bilateral process underway. Late developments such as major shifts in federal leadership, referendum results, or diplomatic overtures could theoretically reopen discussion, though such changes remain distant given current alignments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions