Insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers in both Canada and the United States make any transfer of Alberta's sovereignty by December 31, 2026, highly improbable, driving the market's overwhelming consensus against the outcome. Recent separatist petitions have advanced a potential independence referendum, yet they confront First Nations legal challenges, limited polling support near 28 percent for separation, and far lower backing for U.S. annexation. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has publicly opposed secession, while no bilateral negotiations or formal proposals exist between the governments. Scenarios such as sudden diplomatic shifts, unforeseen referendums passing with supermajorities, or rapid constitutional amendments could theoretically intervene, though none show signs of materializing within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,973,241 交易量
$1,973,241 交易量
2026-12-31
$1,973,241 交易量
$1,973,241 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers in both Canada and the United States make any transfer of Alberta's sovereignty by December 31, 2026, highly improbable, driving the market's overwhelming consensus against the outcome. Recent separatist petitions have advanced a potential independence referendum, yet they confront First Nations legal challenges, limited polling support near 28 percent for separation, and far lower backing for U.S. annexation. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has publicly opposed secession, while no bilateral negotiations or formal proposals exist between the governments. Scenarios such as sudden diplomatic shifts, unforeseen referendums passing with supermajorities, or rapid constitutional amendments could theoretically intervene, though none show signs of materializing within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市場開放時間： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$1,973,241結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers in both Canada and the United States make any transfer of Alberta's sovereignty by December 31, 2026, highly improbable, driving the market's overwhelming consensus against the outcome. Recent separatist petitions have advanced a potential independence referendum, yet they confront First Nations legal challenges, limited polling support near 28 percent for separation, and far lower backing for U.S. annexation. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has publicly opposed secession, while no bilateral negotiations or formal proposals exist between the governments. Scenarios such as sudden diplomatic shifts, unforeseen referendums passing with supermajorities, or rapid constitutional amendments could theoretically intervene, though none show signs of materializing within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$1,976,459結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Insurmountable constitutional, legal, and political barriers in both Canada and the United States make any transfer of Alberta's sovereignty by December 31, 2026, highly improbable, driving the market's overwhelming consensus against the outcome. Recent separatist petitions have advanced a potential independence referendum, yet they confront First Nations legal challenges, limited polling support near 28 percent for separation, and far lower backing for U.S. annexation. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has publicly opposed secession, while no bilateral negotiations or formal proposals exist between the governments. Scenarios such as sudden diplomatic shifts, unforeseen referendums passing with supermajorities, or rapid constitutional amendments could theoretically intervene, though none show signs of materializing within the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions