Traders assign a 95.3% implied probability against Alberta joining the United States because the proposal faces insurmountable constitutional barriers in both countries and lacks any official backing from governments or major political parties. Canadian provinces cannot unilaterally secede or alter borders without federal parliamentary approval, provincial referendums, and constitutional amendments, while U.S. admission of new states requires congressional action with no active legislation or diplomatic signals. Discussions of Western Canadian autonomy continue to center on internal federal-provincial relations rather than integration with the United States. Only unprecedented developments, such as coordinated bilateral treaties or sudden widespread separatist momentum, could realistically alter the current consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$2,044,510 交易量
$2,044,510 交易量
2026-12-31
$2,044,510 交易量
$2,044,510 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders assign a 95.3% implied probability against Alberta joining the United States because the proposal faces insurmountable constitutional barriers in both countries and lacks any official backing from governments or major political parties. Canadian provinces cannot unilaterally secede or alter borders without federal parliamentary approval, provincial referendums, and constitutional amendments, while U.S. admission of new states requires congressional action with no active legislation or diplomatic signals. Discussions of Western Canadian autonomy continue to center on internal federal-provincial relations rather than integration with the United States. Only unprecedented developments, such as coordinated bilateral treaties or sudden widespread separatist momentum, could realistically alter the current consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市場開放時間： Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,044,510結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders assign a 95.3% implied probability against Alberta joining the United States because the proposal faces insurmountable constitutional barriers in both countries and lacks any official backing from governments or major political parties. Canadian provinces cannot unilaterally secede or alter borders without federal parliamentary approval, provincial referendums, and constitutional amendments, while U.S. admission of new states requires congressional action with no active legislation or diplomatic signals. Discussions of Western Canadian autonomy continue to center on internal federal-provincial relations rather than integration with the United States. Only unprecedented developments, such as coordinated bilateral treaties or sudden widespread separatist momentum, could realistically alter the current consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$2,046,153結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 95.3% implied probability against Alberta joining the United States because the proposal faces insurmountable constitutional barriers in both countries and lacks any official backing from governments or major political parties. Canadian provinces cannot unilaterally secede or alter borders without federal parliamentary approval, provincial referendums, and constitutional amendments, while U.S. admission of new states requires congressional action with no active legislation or diplomatic signals. Discussions of Western Canadian autonomy continue to center on internal federal-provincial relations rather than integration with the United States. Only unprecedented developments, such as coordinated bilateral treaties or sudden widespread separatist momentum, could realistically alter the current consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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