Market icon
政治·市長

洛杉磯市長選舉

Market icon
政治·市長

洛杉磯市長選舉

尼迪亞·拉曼 49%

凱倫·巴斯 29%

史賓塞·普瑞特 10%

亞當·米勒 6.0%

Polymarket

$789,229 交易量

尼迪亞·拉曼 49%

凱倫·巴斯 29%

史賓塞·普瑞特 10%

亞當·米勒 6.0%

Polymarket

$789,229 交易量

Market icon

尼迪亞·拉曼

$6,447 交易量

49%

Market icon

凱倫·巴斯

$23,299 交易量

29%

Market icon

史賓塞·普瑞特

$83,232 交易量

10%

Market icon

亞當·米勒

$83,717 交易量

6%

Market icon

Rae Huang

$37,499 交易量

5%

Market icon

奧斯汀·比特納

$6,325 交易量

1%

Market icon

里克·卡魯索

$424,806 交易量

1%

Market icon

林賽·霍瓦斯

$15,989 交易量

1%

Market icon

吉娜·維奧拉

$76,315 交易量

<1%

Market icon

阿薩德·阿納賈爾

$28,579 交易量

<1%

Market icon

莫妮卡·羅德里格斯

$3,022 交易量

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.A recent Loyola Marymount University poll released March 30 positions City Councilmember Nithya Raman as the frontrunner in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary with 33%, ahead of incumbent Mayor Karen Bass at 17%, reflecting Bass's 56% unfavorability in prior LA Times/Berkeley IGS polling and Raman's rapid rise since launching her progressive campaign in early March. Traders see Raman's momentum among undecided voters in the crowded 14-candidate field boosting her to 49% implied probability for victory, while Bass holds 29% amid criticism over city management. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt garners 9.5% as an outsider appealing to skeptics, with Adam Miller and Rae Huang trailing at low-single digits ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. High undecideds signal volatility before the November runoff.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
交易量
$789,229
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.A recent Loyola Marymount University poll released March 30 positions City Councilmember Nithya Raman as the frontrunner in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary with 33%, ahead of incumbent Mayor Karen Bass at 17%, reflecting Bass's 56% unfavorability in prior LA Times/Berkeley IGS polling and Raman's rapid rise since launching her progressive campaign in early March. Traders see Raman's momentum among undecided voters in the crowded 14-candidate field boosting her to 49% implied probability for victory, while Bass holds 29% amid criticism over city management. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt garners 9.5% as an outsider appealing to skeptics, with Adam Miller and Rae Huang trailing at low-single digits ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. High undecideds signal volatility before the November runoff.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
交易量
$789,229
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"洛杉磯市長選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "尼迪亞·拉曼" at 49%, followed by "凱倫·巴斯" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "洛杉磯市長選舉" has generated $789.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "洛杉磯市長選舉," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "洛杉磯市長選舉" is "尼迪亞·拉曼" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "凱倫·巴斯" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "洛杉磯市長選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.