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選舉·美國大選

南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·美國大選

南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

林賽·格雷厄姆 83%

保羅·丹斯 8%

馬克·林奇 2.9%

托馬斯·墨菲 <1%

Polymarket

$51,663 交易量

林賽·格雷厄姆 83%

保羅·丹斯 8%

馬克·林奇 2.9%

托馬斯·墨菲 <1%

Polymarket

$51,663 交易量

林賽·格雷厄姆

$25,094 交易量

83%

保羅·丹斯

$16,951 交易量

8%

馬克·林奇

$5,184 交易量

3%

托馬斯·墨菲

$4,435 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham dominates trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability for South Carolina's June 9 Republican Senate primary, bolstered by his massive fundraising edge—over $19 million raised and $13 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Paul Dans' $629,000 and Mark Lynch's $5.6 million—and proven incumbency strength, including a 2020 primary win above 60% amid Trump-era tensions. Dans, Project 2025 architect, trails at 7.5% with national conservative appeal but limited local footprint, while businessman Lynch sits at 2.6% despite a March 11-17 Pulse Opinion Research poll (likely GOP voters, sponsored by Lynch) showing Graham at 41%, Lynch 21%, Dans 11%, and 22% undecided, signaling potential runoff under the state's top-two rule; traders discount this outlier amid Graham's resources and historical base rates for incumbents. Thomas Murphy lags at 0.2%. Filing closed March 30 without surprises, with no major shifts in the past week.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.

If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$51,663
結束日期
2026-06-09
市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham dominates trader consensus at 82.5% implied probability for South Carolina's June 9 Republican Senate primary, bolstered by his massive fundraising edge—over $19 million raised and $13 million cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Paul Dans' $629,000 and Mark Lynch's $5.6 million—and proven incumbency strength, including a 2020 primary win above 60% amid Trump-era tensions. Dans, Project 2025 architect, trails at 7.5% with national conservative appeal but limited local footprint, while businessman Lynch sits at 2.6% despite a March 11-17 Pulse Opinion Research poll (likely GOP voters, sponsored by Lynch) showing Graham at 41%, Lynch 21%, Dans 11%, and 22% undecided, signaling potential runoff under the state's top-two rule; traders discount this outlier amid Graham's resources and historical base rates for incumbents. Thomas Murphy lags at 0.2%. Filing closed March 30 without surprises, with no major shifts in the past week.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.

If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$51,663
結束日期
2026-06-09
市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "林賽·格雷厄姆" at 83%, followed by "保羅·丹斯" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $51.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "林賽·格雷厄姆" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "保羅·丹斯" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "南卡羅來納州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.