United Russia maintains a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its established administrative resources, media access, and consistent performance in recent regional contests where aligned candidates secured overwhelming majorities. Kremlin preparations emphasize managed stability, with the party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev and adjustments to single-member district quotas that favor the ruling party while limiting gains for systemic opposition groups. New People has recorded modest polling gains in some surveys, positioning it as the strongest challenger among registered parties, yet remains well behind in overall support. The other parliamentary parties, including LDPR and KPRF, face constrained pathways under the current electoral framework, with limited evidence of shifts that would alter the seat distribution leader. Trader consensus reflects these structural and preparatory dynamics in the three months remaining before voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於統一俄羅斯黨（ER） 59%
新人民黨（NL） 29.6%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR） 5.5%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF） 2.9%
$11,428,615 交易量
$11,428,615 交易量
2026-09-30
統一俄羅斯黨（ER）
59%
新人民黨（NL）
30%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR）
5%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF）
3%
正義俄羅斯—為真理（SRZP）
1%
祖國黨
<1%
公民平台（GP）
<1%
統一俄羅斯黨（ER） 59%
新人民黨（NL） 29.6%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR） 5.5%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF） 2.9%
$11,428,615 交易量
$11,428,615 交易量
2026-09-30
統一俄羅斯黨（ER）
$4,150,739 交易量
59%
新人民黨（NL）
$1,325,779 交易量
30%
俄羅斯自由民主黨（LDPR）
$2,394,203 交易量
5%
俄羅斯聯邦共產黨（KPRF）
$761,589 交易量
3%
正義俄羅斯—為真理（SRZP）
$680,939 交易量
1%
祖國黨
$1,330,928 交易量
<1%
公民平台（GP）
$792,821 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its established administrative resources, media access, and consistent performance in recent regional contests where aligned candidates secured overwhelming majorities. Kremlin preparations emphasize managed stability, with the party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev and adjustments to single-member district quotas that favor the ruling party while limiting gains for systemic opposition groups. New People has recorded modest polling gains in some surveys, positioning it as the strongest challenger among registered parties, yet remains well behind in overall support. The other parliamentary parties, including LDPR and KPRF, face constrained pathways under the current electoral framework, with limited evidence of shifts that would alter the seat distribution leader. Trader consensus reflects these structural and preparatory dynamics in the three months remaining before voting.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市場開放時間： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$11,428,615結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its established administrative resources, media access, and consistent performance in recent regional contests where aligned candidates secured overwhelming majorities. Kremlin preparations emphasize managed stability, with the party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev and adjustments to single-member district quotas that favor the ruling party while limiting gains for systemic opposition groups. New People has recorded modest polling gains in some surveys, positioning it as the strongest challenger among registered parties, yet remains well behind in overall support. The other parliamentary parties, including LDPR and KPRF, face constrained pathways under the current electoral framework, with limited evidence of shifts that would alter the seat distribution leader. Trader consensus reflects these structural and preparatory dynamics in the three months remaining before voting.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$11,428,615結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its established administrative resources, media access, and consistent performance in recent regional contests where aligned candidates secured overwhelming majorities. Kremlin preparations emphasize managed stability, with the party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev and adjustments to single-member district quotas that favor the ruling party while limiting gains for systemic opposition groups. New People has recorded modest polling gains in some surveys, positioning it as the strongest challenger among registered parties, yet remains well behind in overall support. The other parliamentary parties, including LDPR and KPRF, face constrained pathways under the current electoral framework, with limited evidence of shifts that would alter the seat distribution leader. Trader consensus reflects these structural and preparatory dynamics in the three months remaining before voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions