哥倫比亞總統選舉

Name: 哥倫比亞總統選舉
Start: 2025-07-29T17:32:52.057Z
End: 2026-06-21T14:00:00.000Z

哥倫比亞總統選舉 — 討論

Takeshi- · 2025-07-29T17:32:52.057Z

關於哥倫比亞總統選舉的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

政治·全球選舉

哥倫比亞總統選舉

伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅 45%

帕洛瑪·瓦倫西亞 37.5%

阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉 13%

塞爾吉奧·法哈多（民主中心） <1%

$12,299,133 交易量

2026-06-21

伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅

$457,262 交易量

45%

帕洛瑪·瓦倫西亞

$563,268 交易量

38%

阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉

$554,375 交易量

13%

塞爾吉奧·法哈多（民主中心）

$1,309,592 交易量

卡洛斯·費利佩·科爾多瓦

$93,188 交易量

<1%

Claudia López（無黨籍）

$536,411 交易量

<1%

胡安·丹尼爾·奧維耶多（無黨籍）

$587,625 交易量

<1%

赫爾曼·巴爾加斯·耶拉斯（RC）

$1,009,450 交易量

<1%

羅伊·巴雷拉斯

$710,508 交易量

<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo（CRB）

$1,208,746 交易量

<1%

維姬·達維拉（無黨籍）

$444,280 交易量

<1%

大衛·盧納·桑切斯（無黨籍）

$380,154 交易量

<1%

Gustavo Bolívar（HC）

$1,118,092 交易量

<1%

胡安·曼努埃爾·加蘭（NL）

$499,016 交易量

<1%

毛里西奧·卡爾德納斯

$1,790,009 交易量

<1%

丹尼爾·昆特羅

$411,597 交易量

<1%

恩里克·佩尼亞洛薩

$313,043 交易量

<1%

胡安·卡洛斯·平松

$288,026 交易量

<1%

伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅 45%

帕洛瑪·瓦倫西亞 37.5%

阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉 13%

塞爾吉奧·法哈多（民主中心） <1%

$12,299,133 交易量

2026-06-21

伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅

$457,262 交易量

45%

帕洛瑪·瓦倫西亞

$563,268 交易量

38%

阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉

$554,375 交易量

13%

塞爾吉奧·法哈多（民主中心）

$1,309,592 交易量

卡洛斯·費利佩·科爾多瓦

$93,188 交易量

<1%

Claudia López（無黨籍）

$536,411 交易量

<1%

胡安·丹尼爾·奧維耶多（無黨籍）

$587,625 交易量

<1%

赫爾曼·巴爾加斯·耶拉斯（RC）

$1,009,450 交易量

<1%

羅伊·巴雷拉斯

$710,508 交易量

<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo（CRB）

$1,208,746 交易量

<1%

維姬·達維拉（無黨籍）

$444,280 交易量

<1%

大衛·盧納·桑切斯（無黨籍）

$380,154 交易量

<1%

Gustavo Bolívar（HC）

$1,118,092 交易量

<1%

胡安·曼努埃爾·加蘭（NL）

$499,016 交易量

<1%

毛里西奧·卡爾德納斯

$1,790,009 交易量

<1%

丹尼爾·昆特羅

$411,597 交易量

<1%

恩里克·佩尼亞洛薩

$313,043 交易量

<1%

胡安·卡洛斯·平松

$288,026 交易量

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哥倫比亞總統選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅" at 45%, followed by "帕洛瑪·瓦倫西亞" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哥倫比亞總統選舉" has generated $12.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哥倫比亞總統選舉," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哥倫比亞總統選舉" is "伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "帕洛瑪·瓦倫西亞" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哥倫比亞總統選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "哥倫比亞總統選舉." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $12.3 million traded on “哥倫比亞總統選舉,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "哥倫比亞總統選舉," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 45¢ for "伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅" in the "哥倫比亞總統選舉" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 45% chance that "伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 45¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 55¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "哥倫比亞總統選舉" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 21, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "哥倫比亞總統選舉" market has an active community of 363 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "哥倫比亞總統選舉." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

哥倫比亞總統選舉

哥倫比亞總統選舉

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "哥倫比亞總統選舉" prediction market?

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What does a price of 45¢ for "伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅" mean?

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