Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow's strong position in the October 26, 2026, Toronto mayoral election reflects her established base following the 2023 by-election victory and her formal re-election announcement on May 25. As the leading candidate, she benefits from name recognition and the historical pattern of Toronto incumbents securing first-term re-election. Councillor Brad Bradford, who registered on the May 1 nomination opening, represents the primary challenger but trails in early polling amid a fragmented field. Minor candidates including Michael Ford and others register negligible support, consistent with limited momentum or broad name recognition at this stage. Trader consensus prices align with Chow's consistent double-digit polling edge and the absence of major late developments that could alter the race trajectory before the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Olivia Chow 86%
Brad Bradford 14%
Michael Ford <1%
John Tory <1%
$62,465 交易量
$62,465 交易量

Olivia Chow
86%

Brad Bradford
14%

Michael Ford
1%

John Tory
<1%

Ana Bailão
<1%

Marco Mendicino
<1%

Anthony Furey
<1%

Kevin Clarke
<1%
Olivia Chow 86%
Brad Bradford 14%
Michael Ford <1%
John Tory <1%
$62,465 交易量
$62,465 交易量

Olivia Chow
86%

Brad Bradford
14%

Michael Ford
1%

John Tory
<1%

Ana Bailão
<1%

Marco Mendicino
<1%

Anthony Furey
<1%

Kevin Clarke
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow's strong position in the October 26, 2026, Toronto mayoral election reflects her established base following the 2023 by-election victory and her formal re-election announcement on May 25. As the leading candidate, she benefits from name recognition and the historical pattern of Toronto incumbents securing first-term re-election. Councillor Brad Bradford, who registered on the May 1 nomination opening, represents the primary challenger but trails in early polling amid a fragmented field. Minor candidates including Michael Ford and others register negligible support, consistent with limited momentum or broad name recognition at this stage. Trader consensus prices align with Chow's consistent double-digit polling edge and the absence of major late developments that could alter the race trajectory before the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions