Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Keiko Fujimori at 61.5% to win Peru's June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (36.9%), reflecting her first-round lead of 17.1% from the April 12-13 vote, strong party machinery from Fuerza Popular, and urban support amid security concerns. Sánchez advanced narrowly over Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) after recounts and fraud allegations dismissed by the National Jury of Elections (JNE), bolstering his rural base but exposing vulnerabilities like limited name recognition pre-election. Recent Ipsos and IEP polls (late April-early May) show a dead heat at 49-51%, yet Fujimori's experience in three prior runoffs and new "Ruta del Diálogo" outreach to undecideds (17-24% blank/null intentions) drive her edge, with high uncertainty from polarized turnout and potential endorsements ahead of the ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於藤森惠子 62%
羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾 36.9%
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 1.6%
卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯 <1%
$49,293,907 交易量
$49,293,907 交易量

藤森惠子
62%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾
37%

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加
2%

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯
<1%

塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞
<1%

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍
<1%

羅貝托·奇亞布拉
<1%

恩里克·瓦爾德拉馬
<1%

梅西亞斯·格瓦拉
<1%

喬治·涅托
<1%

馬里奧·維茲卡拉
<1%

荷塞·盧納
<1%

荷西·威廉斯
<1%

菲奧雷拉·莫利內利
<1%

費爾南多·奧利維拉
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏
<1%

喬治·福賽斯
<1%

里卡多·貝爾蒙特
<1%

卡洛斯·埃斯帕
<1%

拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·廖薩
<1%

瑪麗索·佩雷斯·特略
<1%

沃爾夫岡·格羅佐
<1%
藤森惠子 62%
羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾 36.9%
拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 1.6%
卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯 <1%
$49,293,907 交易量
$49,293,907 交易量

藤森惠子
62%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾
37%

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加
2%

卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯
<1%

塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞
<1%

弗拉迪米爾·塞龍
<1%

羅貝托·奇亞布拉
<1%

恩里克·瓦爾德拉馬
<1%

梅西亞斯·格瓦拉
<1%

喬治·涅托
<1%

馬里奧·維茲卡拉
<1%

荷塞·盧納
<1%

荷西·威廉斯
<1%

菲奧雷拉·莫利內利
<1%

費爾南多·奧利維拉
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏
<1%

喬治·福賽斯
<1%

里卡多·貝爾蒙特
<1%

卡洛斯·埃斯帕
<1%

拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·廖薩
<1%

瑪麗索·佩雷斯·特略
<1%

沃爾夫岡·格羅佐
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
市場開放時間: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Keiko Fujimori at 61.5% to win Peru's June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (36.9%), reflecting her first-round lead of 17.1% from the April 12-13 vote, strong party machinery from Fuerza Popular, and urban support amid security concerns. Sánchez advanced narrowly over Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) after recounts and fraud allegations dismissed by the National Jury of Elections (JNE), bolstering his rural base but exposing vulnerabilities like limited name recognition pre-election. Recent Ipsos and IEP polls (late April-early May) show a dead heat at 49-51%, yet Fujimori's experience in three prior runoffs and new "Ruta del Diálogo" outreach to undecideds (17-24% blank/null intentions) drive her edge, with high uncertainty from polarized turnout and potential endorsements ahead of the ballot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions