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政治·中東

下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？

icon for 下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？
政治·中東

下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？

班傑明·納坦雅胡 34%

加迪·艾森科特 27.8%

納夫塔利·貝內特 27%

阿維格多·利伯曼 4.1%

Polymarket

$14,114,790 交易量

班傑明·納坦雅胡 34%

加迪·艾森科特 27.8%

納夫塔利·貝內特 27%

阿維格多·利伯曼 4.1%

Polymarket

$14,114,790 交易量

班傑明·納坦雅胡

$949,197 交易量

34%

加迪·艾森科特

$934,520 交易量

28%

納夫塔利·貝內特

$1,546,407 交易量

27%

阿維格多·利伯曼

$977,755 交易量

4%

伊塔瑪·本·格維爾

$921,670 交易量

1%

亞伊爾·拉皮德

$774,187 交易量

1%

亞里夫·萊文

$618,497 交易量

1%

吉迪恩·萨尔

$1,065,283 交易量

1%

班尼·甘茨

$452,444 交易量

<1%

約西·科恩

$899,536 交易量

<1%

亞伊爾·戈蘭

$947,178 交易量

<1%

艾耶萊特·沙凱德

$856,230 交易量

<1%

以色列·卡茨

$343,644 交易量

<1%

阿米爾·奧哈納

$688,153 交易量

<1%

摩謝·費格林

$657,751 交易量

<1%

尼爾·巴卡特

$528,781 交易量

<1%

約阿茲·亨德爾

$954,249 交易量

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's upcoming legislative election, due no later than October 2026, centers on widespread voter fatigue with the incumbent government's handling of prolonged conflicts and domestic priorities, positioning Benjamin Netanyahu as the frontrunner within his bloc yet vulnerable to coordinated opposition challenges. Naftali Bennett's April alliance with Yair Lapid under the Together list has consolidated centrist and right-leaning support behind Bennett as a prime ministerial candidate, while Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party has gained rapid traction through recent polls showing him preferred over Netanyahu in head-to-head suitability surveys. These overlapping bids, alongside smaller right-wing and centrist figures, sustain a fragmented anti-Netanyahu camp that polls indicate could secure a Knesset majority but has not yet unified behind a single leader. The resulting trader consensus reflects uncertainty over which opposition figure can best translate polling momentum into coalition viability before the vote.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,114,790
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's upcoming legislative election, due no later than October 2026, centers on widespread voter fatigue with the incumbent government's handling of prolonged conflicts and domestic priorities, positioning Benjamin Netanyahu as the frontrunner within his bloc yet vulnerable to coordinated opposition challenges. Naftali Bennett's April alliance with Yair Lapid under the Together list has consolidated centrist and right-leaning support behind Bennett as a prime ministerial candidate, while Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party has gained rapid traction through recent polls showing him preferred over Netanyahu in head-to-head suitability surveys. These overlapping bids, alongside smaller right-wing and centrist figures, sustain a fragmented anti-Netanyahu camp that polls indicate could secure a Knesset majority but has not yet unified behind a single leader. The resulting trader consensus reflects uncertainty over which opposition figure can best translate polling momentum into coalition viability before the vote.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,114,790
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "班傑明·納坦雅胡" at 34%, followed by "加迪·艾森科特" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" has generated $14.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" is "班傑明·納坦雅胡" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "加迪·艾森科特" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下次選舉後，誰將成為以色列的下一任總理？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.