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法案 預測與賠率

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Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

81%

May 31

$13.6K 交易量

$48.0K Liq.

Ends 22 天內

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

1%

$102K 交易量

$14.7K Liq.

13

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

14%

$604 交易量

$165 Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Bill Gates charged by June 30?

Bill Gates charged by June 30?

1%

$10.6K 交易量

$3.8K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

5%

$3.3K 交易量

$2.2K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

24%

$98.0K 交易量

$11.8K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?

37%

Jeff Bezos

$67.5K 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

1

Ends 4 個月內

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

47%

Mahmoud Khalil

$64.3K 交易量

$77.4K Liq.

3

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

60%

Julia Letlow

$258K 交易量

$157K Liq.

4

Ends 7 天內

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Who visited Epstein's Island?

6%

Steve Bannon

$2M 交易量

$267K Liq.

126

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

23%

Lord Peter Mandelson

$60.9K 交易量

$5.0K Liq.

11

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner

72%

Marquita Bradshaw

$9.4K 交易量

$18.4K Liq.

2

Ends 3 個月內

Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner

95%

Amy Klobuchar

$21.9K 交易量

$37.1K Liq.

3

Ends 3 個月內

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 16

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 16

99%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$10.8K 交易量

$58.8K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 16

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 16

99%

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan

$13.2K 交易量

$14.0K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by May 31?

Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by May 31?

100%

121.5 billion

$5.2K 交易量

$12.3K Liq.

Ends 22 天內

Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

98%

$8.1K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

44%

$3M 交易量

$68.9K Liq.

17

Ends 6 個月內

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

93%

$128K 交易量

$17.9K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

90%

Drake

$139K 交易量

$10.6K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 183 active markets for 法案 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who visited Epstein's Island?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 法案 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.