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主要 預測與賠率

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2028年民主黨總統提名人

2028年民主黨總統提名人

25%

加文·紐森

$1B 交易量

$3M today

$68M Liq.

772

Ends 超過 2 年內

2028年共和黨總統提名人

2028年共和黨總統提名人

33%

J.D. Vance

$660M 交易量

$841K today

$45M Liq.

422

Ends 超過 2 年內

UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者

UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者

87%

Ben McAdams

$90.7K 交易量

$197K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner

MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner

74%

Adrian Boafo

$52.7K 交易量

$175K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

紐約-12民主黨初選獲勝者

紐約-12民主黨初選獲勝者

64%

Micah Lasher

$423K 交易量

$173K Liq.

4

Ends 5 天內

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner

100%

Mark Tedford

$135K 交易量

$77.7K Liq.

Ends 2 天前

UT-03共和黨初選獲勝者

UT-03共和黨初選獲勝者

88%

Celeste Maloy

$25.2K 交易量

$77.6K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

85%

April McClain Delaney

$36.0K 交易量

$129K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

紐約-12民主黨初選勝利邊際

紐約-12民主黨初選勝利邊際

27%

Lasher 少於5%

$17.3K 交易量

$86.2K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

南卡羅來納州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

南卡羅來納州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

86%

艾倫·威爾遜

$732K 交易量

$109K Liq.

1

Ends 9 天前

奧克拉荷馬州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

奧克拉荷馬州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

51%

邁克·馬澤伊

$358K 交易量

$77.2K Liq.

1

Ends 2 天前

紐約-13民主黨初選獲勝者

紐約-13民主黨初選獲勝者

57%

Darializa Avila Chevalier

$58.6K 交易量

$42.1K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

馬裏蘭州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

馬裏蘭州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

77%

丹·考克斯

$570K 交易量

$97.1K Liq.

1

Ends 5 天內

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

96%

格倫·艾維

$10.0K 交易量

$46.4K Liq.

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

99%

Xavier Becerra

$883K 交易量

$601K Liq.

10

Ends 16 天前

NY-06民主黨初選獲勝者

NY-06民主黨初選獲勝者

93%

孟昭文

$12.7K 交易量

$68.4K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

奧克拉荷馬州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

奧克拉荷馬州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

87%

N’Kiyla「Jasmine」Thomas

$26.4K 交易量

$44.2K Liq.

Ends 2 天前

紐約-17民主黨初選獲勝者

紐約-17民主黨初選獲勝者

78%

凱特·康利

$72.5K 交易量

$72.3K Liq.

2

Ends 5 天內

UT-02 Republican Primary Winner

UT-02 Republican Primary Winner

93%

布雷克·摩爾

$8.5K 交易量

$34.0K Liq.

MD-01 Democratic Primary Winner

MD-01 Democratic Primary Winner

93%

Dan Schwartz

$6.7K 交易量

$44.2K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 136 active markets for 主要 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2028年民主黨總統提名人”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.9B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2028年民主黨總統提名人,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2028年民主黨總統提名人,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to 加文·紐森. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 主要 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.