Market icon
選舉·主要

NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者

安東尼·迪洛倫佐 44%

Hollie Noveletsky 32%

梅麗莎·貝利 6%

伊麗莎白·吉拉爾 3.4%

Polymarket

$37,865 交易量

安東尼·迪洛倫佐 44%

Hollie Noveletsky 32%

梅麗莎·貝利 6%

伊麗莎白·吉拉爾 3.4%

Polymarket

$37,865 交易量

安東尼·迪洛倫佐

$927 交易量

55%

Hollie Noveletsky

$22,230 交易量

32%

梅麗莎·貝利

$793 交易量

6%

伊麗莎白·吉拉爾

$13,241 交易量

3%

布賴恩·科爾

$674 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo leads trader consensus at 54% implied probability in the NH-01 Republican primary due to his self-funding capacity as a Seacoast auto group owner and recent endorsement from former NHGOP chair Steve Stepanek on March 16, positioning him as the establishment-backed frontrunner capable of consolidating support in the crowded field ahead of the September 8 primary. Challenger Hollie Noveletsky holds 32% on strong grassroots momentum, including a broad coalition of endorsements from NH Senate Majority Leader Regina Birdsell, Executive Councilor Joe Kenney, and AGC PAC, plus her February announcement of $250,000 raised and a March 17 ad attacking DiLorenzo's past immigration stance. With no public polls yet, odds reflect DiLorenzo's financial edge amid attack ads and fragmented support for lower-tier candidates like Melissa Bailey.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$37,865
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo leads trader consensus at 54% implied probability in the NH-01 Republican primary due to his self-funding capacity as a Seacoast auto group owner and recent endorsement from former NHGOP chair Steve Stepanek on March 16, positioning him as the establishment-backed frontrunner capable of consolidating support in the crowded field ahead of the September 8 primary. Challenger Hollie Noveletsky holds 32% on strong grassroots momentum, including a broad coalition of endorsements from NH Senate Majority Leader Regina Birdsell, Executive Councilor Joe Kenney, and AGC PAC, plus her February announcement of $250,000 raised and a March 17 ad attacking DiLorenzo's past immigration stance. With no public polls yet, odds reflect DiLorenzo's financial edge amid attack ads and fragmented support for lower-tier candidates like Melissa Bailey.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$37,865
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "安東尼·迪洛倫佐" at 55%, followed by "Hollie Noveletsky" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $37.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is "安東尼·迪洛倫佐" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hollie Noveletsky" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NH-01共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.