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選舉·全球選舉

下屆法國總統選舉

Market icon
選舉·全球選舉

下屆法國總統選舉

埃杜阿爾·菲利普 29%

喬丹·巴爾德拉 20%

瑪琳·勒龐 10%

讓-呂克·梅朗雄 7%

Polymarket

$28,135,466 交易量

埃杜阿爾·菲利普 29%

喬丹·巴爾德拉 20%

瑪琳·勒龐 10%

讓-呂克·梅朗雄 7%

Polymarket

$28,135,466 交易量

Market icon

埃杜阿爾·菲利普

$431,597 交易量

29%

Market icon

喬丹·巴爾德拉

$635,840 交易量

20%

Market icon

瑪琳·勒龐

$324,622 交易量

10%

Market icon

讓-呂克·梅朗雄

$239,936 交易量

7%

Market icon

大衛·利斯納爾

$715,626 交易量

5%

Market icon

多米尼克·德維爾潘

$838,833 交易量

5%

Market icon

拉斐爾·格呂克斯曼

$480,823 交易量

4%

Market icon

弗朗索瓦·奧朗德

$578,634 交易量

4%

Market icon

莎拉·克納福

$972,386 交易量

3%

Market icon

布魯諾·赫泰約

$915,682 交易量

3%

Market icon

Gabriel Attal

$855,795 交易量

2%

Market icon

熱拉爾·達爾馬寧

$330,596 交易量

1%

Market icon

弗朗索瓦·魯芬

$320,057 交易量

1%

Market icon

讓·卡斯泰

$467,466 交易量

1%

Market icon

塞巴斯蒂安·勒科努

$613,905 交易量

1%

Market icon

埃里克·澤穆爾

$351,295 交易量

1%

Market icon

胡安·布蘭科

$281,547 交易量

1%

Market icon

弗朗索瓦·阿斯利諾

$1,585,238 交易量

<1%

Market icon

伊莉莎白·博爾內

$1,439,542 交易量

<1%

Market icon

瑪琳·通德列

$408,127 交易量

<1%

Market icon

克萊芙蒂娜·奧坦

$1,706,577 交易量

<1%

Market icon

弗朗索瓦·貝魯

$1,450,592 交易量

<1%

Market icon

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,226,730 交易量

<1%

Market icon

克蕾芙絲·蓋特

$1,515,830 交易量

<1%

Market icon

尼古拉·杜邦-艾尼昂

$1,164,288 交易量

<1%

Market icon

奧利維耶·福爾

$717,669 交易量

<1%

Market icon

塞格琳·羅亞爾

$892,945 交易量

<1%

Market icon

米歇爾·巴尼耶

$885,971 交易量

<1%

Market icon

貝爾納·卡澤納夫

$330,386 交易量

<1%

Market icon

瓦萊麗·佩克雷斯

$978,542 交易量

<1%

Market icon

洛朗·瓦奎茲

$352,644 交易量

<1%

Market icon

法比恩·魯塞爾

$874,134 交易量

<1%

Market icon

卡羅爾·德爾加

$704,833 交易量

<1%

Market icon

曼努埃爾·邦帕爾

$880,979 交易量

<1%

Market icon

澤維耶·貝特朗

$640,459 交易量

<1%

Market icon

馬蒂爾德·帕諾

$1,028,699 交易量

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent municipal elections in late March 2026 bolstered Édouard Philippe's position as the leading contender on Polymarket, with his decisive reelection as mayor of Le Havre highlighting his center-right appeal and strength in potential runoff scenarios against far-right rivals like Jordan Bardella, per recent OpinionWay and Elabe polls showing Philippe ahead 59-41% in a head-to-head. Bardella tops some first-round surveys at 35-38% amid Rassemblement National's persistent polling edge, but the party's underwhelming local results have capped momentum, while Marine Le Pen lags at 10% as Bardella assumes frontrunner status within RN. Left-wing fragmentation and undecided party primaries for Les Républicains and Socialists keep the field wide open ahead of the April 2027 presidential vote, with economic pressures or candidate announcements poised to widen gaps.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$28,135,466
結束日期
2027-04-30
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent municipal elections in late March 2026 bolstered Édouard Philippe's position as the leading contender on Polymarket, with his decisive reelection as mayor of Le Havre highlighting his center-right appeal and strength in potential runoff scenarios against far-right rivals like Jordan Bardella, per recent OpinionWay and Elabe polls showing Philippe ahead 59-41% in a head-to-head. Bardella tops some first-round surveys at 35-38% amid Rassemblement National's persistent polling edge, but the party's underwhelming local results have capped momentum, while Marine Le Pen lags at 10% as Bardella assumes frontrunner status within RN. Left-wing fragmentation and undecided party primaries for Les Républicains and Socialists keep the field wide open ahead of the April 2027 presidential vote, with economic pressures or candidate announcements poised to widen gaps.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$28,135,466
結束日期
2027-04-30
市場開放時間
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下屆法國總統選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "埃杜阿爾·菲利普" at 28%, followed by "喬丹·巴爾德拉" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下屆法國總統選舉" has generated $28.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下屆法國總統選舉," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下屆法國總統選舉" is "埃杜阿爾·菲利普" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "喬丹·巴爾德拉" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下屆法國總統選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.