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政治·主要

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·主要

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

James Dees 36%

Jerry Carl 35%

Rhett Marques 35%

Joshua McKee 26%

Polymarket
NEW

$33,281 交易量

James Dees 36%

Jerry Carl 35%

Rhett Marques 35%

Joshua McKee 26%

Polymarket
NEW

$33,281 交易量

James Dees

$0 交易量

36%

Jerry Carl

$0 交易量

35%

Rhett Marques

$0 交易量

35%

Joshua McKee

$0 交易量

26%

John Mills

$14,754 交易量

21%

Austin Sidwell

$13,353 交易量

20%

James Richardson

$5,174 交易量

15%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the AL-01 Republican primary shows a three-way tie atop the field at 37-37.5% for incumbent Jerry Carl, businessman James Dees, and veteran Rhett Marques, reflecting scarce public polling and balanced fundraising that has prevented separation. Carl's incumbency advantage and February Trump endorsement provide a base, but Dees and Marques have gained traction through self-funding, aggressive advertising, and critiques of Carl's voting record on issues like border security. With the March 5 first-round vote nearing—potentially triggering a March 26 runoff absent a majority—key factors include turnout among coastal district conservatives, any late endorsements from local GOP figures, and final internal polls that could shift the closely contested dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$33,281
結束日期
May 19, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the AL-01 Republican primary shows a three-way tie atop the field at 37-37.5% for incumbent Jerry Carl, businessman James Dees, and veteran Rhett Marques, reflecting scarce public polling and balanced fundraising that has prevented separation. Carl's incumbency advantage and February Trump endorsement provide a base, but Dees and Marques have gained traction through self-funding, aggressive advertising, and critiques of Carl's voting record on issues like border security. With the March 5 first-round vote nearing—potentially triggering a March 26 runoff absent a majority—key factors include turnout among coastal district conservatives, any late endorsements from local GOP figures, and final internal polls that could shift the closely contested dynamics.

Trader consensus in the AL-01 Republican primary shows a three-way tie atop the field at 37-37.5% for incumbent Jerry Carl, businessman James Dees, and veteran Rhett Marques, reflecting scarce public polling and balanced fundraising that has prevented separation. Carl's incumbency advantage and February Trump endorsement provide a base, but Dees and Marques have gained traction through self-funding, aggressive advertising, and critiques of Carl's voting record on issues like border security. With the March 5 first-round vote nearing—potentially triggering a March 26 runoff absent a majority—key factors include turnout among coastal district conservatives, any late endorsements from local GOP figures, and final internal polls that could shift the closely contested dynamics.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "James Dees" at 36%, followed by "Jerry Carl" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $33.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" is "James Dees" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jerry Carl" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.