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選舉·中期

NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·中期

NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者

亞當·哈馬維 27%

維爾莉娜·雷諾茲-傑克森 25%

Brad Cohen 24%

Adrian Mapp 18.9%

Polymarket

$18,055 交易量

亞當·哈馬維 27%

維爾莉娜·雷諾茲-傑克森 25%

Brad Cohen 24%

Adrian Mapp 18.9%

Polymarket

$18,055 交易量

亞當·哈馬維

$472 交易量

27%

維爾莉娜·雷諾茲-傑克森

$0 交易量

26%

Brad Cohen

$776 交易量

32%

Adrian Mapp

$0 交易量

19%

蘇珊·奧特曼

$14,124 交易量

21%

馬修·亞當斯

$0 交易量

4%

以利亞·迪克森

$0 交易量

3%

Kyle Little

$0 交易量

2%

雷蒙德·赫克

$778 交易量

2%

邁克爾·安德森

$1,904 交易量

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$0 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open NJ-12 Democratic primary to succeed retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman on June 2, trader consensus favors East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen at 31.5% implied probability, buoyed by his dominant March Middlesex County Democratic organization endorsement in a district spanning key counties like Middlesex, Mercer, Somerset, and Union. Physician Adam Hamawy trails closely at 27% after announcing nearly $550,000 in first-quarter fundraising—potentially the field's best—while Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (26%) leverages legislative experience and Mercer backing, and Susan Altman (21%) draws progressive support from Princeton groups. The bunched top tier reflects a fragmented 13-candidate field with split county lines and no public polls; separation could come from Somerset or Union endorsements, additional PAC money, or internal surveys ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$18,055
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open NJ-12 Democratic primary to succeed retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman on June 2, trader consensus favors East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen at 31.5% implied probability, buoyed by his dominant March Middlesex County Democratic organization endorsement in a district spanning key counties like Middlesex, Mercer, Somerset, and Union. Physician Adam Hamawy trails closely at 27% after announcing nearly $550,000 in first-quarter fundraising—potentially the field's best—while Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (26%) leverages legislative experience and Mercer backing, and Susan Altman (21%) draws progressive support from Princeton groups. The bunched top tier reflects a fragmented 13-candidate field with split county lines and no public polls; separation could come from Somerset or Union endorsements, additional PAC money, or internal surveys ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$18,055
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brad Cohen" at 32%, followed by "亞當·哈馬維" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $18.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Brad Cohen" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞當·哈馬維" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NJ-12民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.