Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

Name: Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
Start: 2026-03-27T16:25:50.969Z
End: 2026-04-19T00:00:00.000Z

政治·保加利亞

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

NEW

Apr 19, 2026

BSP

$0 交易量

76%

MECh

$0 交易量

75%

APS

$0 交易量

69%

ITN

$693 交易量

69%

Velichie

$1,121 交易量

56%

$1,814 交易量

BSP

$0 交易量

76%

MECh

$0 交易量

75%

APS

$0 交易量

69%

ITN

$693 交易量

69%

Velichie

$1,121 交易量

56%

Bulgaria faces its eighth snap parliamentary election in five years on April 19, 2026, electing a 240-seat National Assembly via proportional representation where parties or coalitions need 4% of valid votes to enter. Recent polls from mid-March, including Alpha Research and Market Links, project five groups clearing the threshold: Progressive Bulgaria (former President Rumen Radev's new coalition, surging to 24-29%), GERB-UDF (18-21%), PP-DB (11%), DPS-NN (9%), and Revival (5-7%), reflecting trader focus on their stability amid political fragmentation. BSP lingers near 4% at 3-4%, vulnerable to turnout shifts. Triggered by late-2025 corruption protests and coalition collapses, the race highlights low trust, potential vote-buying, and foreign interference risks, with caretaker Prime Minister Gyurov overseeing the official campaign through election day.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 28, 2026, 6:57 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "BSP" at 76%, followed by "MECh" at 75%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" is "BSP" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "MECh" at 75%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 76¢ for "BSP" in the "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 76% chance that "BSP" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 76¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 24¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 19, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

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