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政治·機場

3月30日有超過500個美國航班被取消？

Market icon
政治·機場

3月30日有超過500個美國航班被取消？

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

是

49% chance
Polymarket
NEW

是

49% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus slightly favors no more than 500 US flight cancellations on March 30, reflecting recovery from mid-March's North American blizzard that grounded thousands amid snow, high winds, and thunderstorms at hubs like Chicago O'Hare and Atlanta. With no major storm system forecast per FAA outlooks—noting only potential high winds in New York and Philadelphia alongside thunderstorms in Chicago—baseline cancellation rates around 100-300 persist amid high spring break volumes. However, the ongoing partial government shutdown exacerbates TSA staffing shortages, doubling absences and fueling delays that could cascade into cancellations if quits accelerate or unexpected weather emerges, maintaining the tight 51% "No" balance. FAA ground stops or airline waivers would signal tipping risks.

Trader consensus slightly favors no more than 500 US flight cancellations on March 30, reflecting recovery from mid-March's North American blizzard that grounded thousands amid snow, high winds, and thunderstorms at hubs like Chicago O'Hare and Atlanta. With no major storm system forecast per FAA outlooks—noting only potential high winds in New York and Philadelphia alongside thunderstorms in Chicago—baseline cancellation rates around 100-300 persist amid high spring break volumes. However, the ongoing partial government shutdown exacerbates TSA staffing shortages, doubling absences and fueling delays that could cascade into cancellations if quits accelerate or unexpected weather emerges, maintaining the tight 51% "No" balance. FAA ground stops or airline waivers would signal tipping risks.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus slightly favors no more than 500 US flight cancellations on March 30, reflecting recovery from mid-March's North American blizzard that grounded thousands amid snow, high winds, and thunderstorms at hubs like Chicago O'Hare and Atlanta. With no major storm system forecast per FAA outlooks—noting only potential high winds in New York and Philadelphia alongside thunderstorms in Chicago—baseline cancellation rates around 100-300 persist amid high spring break volumes. However, the ongoing partial government shutdown exacerbates TSA staffing shortages, doubling absences and fueling delays that could cascade into cancellations if quits accelerate or unexpected weather emerges, maintaining the tight 51% "No" balance. FAA ground stops or airline waivers would signal tipping risks.

Trader consensus slightly favors no more than 500 US flight cancellations on March 30, reflecting recovery from mid-March's North American blizzard that grounded thousands amid snow, high winds, and thunderstorms at hubs like Chicago O'Hare and Atlanta. With no major storm system forecast per FAA outlooks—noting only potential high winds in New York and Philadelphia alongside thunderstorms in Chicago—baseline cancellation rates around 100-300 persist amid high spring break volumes. However, the ongoing partial government shutdown exacerbates TSA staffing shortages, doubling absences and fueling delays that could cascade into cancellations if quits accelerate or unexpected weather emerges, maintaining the tight 51% "No" balance. FAA ground stops or airline waivers would signal tipping risks.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月30日有超過500個美國航班被取消？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "美國超過500個航班於3月30日被取消？" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"3月30日有超過500個美國航班被取消？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "3月30日有超過500個美國航班被取消？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月30日有超過500個美國航班被取消？" is "美國超過500個航班於3月30日被取消？" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月30日有超過500個美國航班被取消？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.