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政治·TSA

3月29日延誤的美國航班數量？

Market icon
政治·TSA

3月29日延誤的美國航班數量？

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

少於6,000 85%

6,000-6,500 27%

6,500-7,000 27%

7,000-7,500 27%

Polymarket
NEW

少於6,000 85%

6,000-6,500 27%

6,500-7,000 27%

7,000-7,500 27%

Polymarket
NEW

少於6,000

$6 交易量

68%

6,000-6,500

$0 交易量

27%

6,500-7,000

$0 交易量

27%

7,000-7,500

$0 交易量

27%

7,500-8,000

$0 交易量

27%

8,000-8,500

$10 交易量

11%

8,500-9,000

$10 交易量

11%

>9,000

$0 交易量

11%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus favors fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 29 at 67.5%, aligning with the March 2026 daily average of around 5,600 amid stabilizing operations after mid-month storms that spiked delays above 12,000 on March 16. Recent FAA ground stops at Washington-area airports on March 28 due to an air traffic control facility odor were quickly resolved, limiting broader disruptions, while high winds in New York and Philadelphia on March 27 caused localized issues but no national surge. Persistent TSA staffing shortages from the partial government shutdown continue to lengthen security checkpoint lines at hubs like Atlanta and Houston, yet absent severe weather forecasts or spring break peaks, traders price low-to-moderate airport congestion and minimal ground delays for tomorrow. Higher ranges like 8,000+ reflect tail risks from unexpected escalations.

Trader consensus favors fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 29 at 67.5%, aligning with the March 2026 daily average of around 5,600 amid stabilizing operations after mid-month storms that spiked delays above 12,000 on March 16. Recent FAA ground stops at Washington-area airports on March 28 due to an air traffic control facility odor were quickly resolved, limiting broader disruptions, while high winds in New York and Philadelphia on March 27 caused localized issues but no national surge. Persistent TSA staffing shortages from the partial government shutdown continue to lengthen security checkpoint lines at hubs like Atlanta and Houston, yet absent severe weather forecasts or spring break peaks, traders price low-to-moderate airport congestion and minimal ground delays for tomorrow. Higher ranges like 8,000+ reflect tail risks from unexpected escalations.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus favors fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 29 at 67.5%, aligning with the March 2026 daily average of around 5,600 amid stabilizing operations after mid-month storms that spiked delays above 12,000 on March 16. Recent FAA ground stops at Washington-area airports on March 28 due to an air traffic control facility odor were quickly resolved, limiting broader disruptions, while high winds in New York and Philadelphia on March 27 caused localized issues but no national surge. Persistent TSA staffing shortages from the partial government shutdown continue to lengthen security checkpoint lines at hubs like Atlanta and Houston, yet absent severe weather forecasts or spring break peaks, traders price low-to-moderate airport congestion and minimal ground delays for tomorrow. Higher ranges like 8,000+ reflect tail risks from unexpected escalations.

Trader consensus favors fewer than 6,000 US flight delays on March 29 at 67.5%, aligning with the March 2026 daily average of around 5,600 amid stabilizing operations after mid-month storms that spiked delays above 12,000 on March 16. Recent FAA ground stops at Washington-area airports on March 28 due to an air traffic control facility odor were quickly resolved, limiting broader disruptions, while high winds in New York and Philadelphia on March 27 caused localized issues but no national surge. Persistent TSA staffing shortages from the partial government shutdown continue to lengthen security checkpoint lines at hubs like Atlanta and Houston, yet absent severe weather forecasts or spring break peaks, traders price low-to-moderate airport congestion and minimal ground delays for tomorrow. Higher ranges like 8,000+ reflect tail risks from unexpected escalations.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月29日延誤的美國航班數量？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "少於6,000" at 68%, followed by "6,000-6,500" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"3月29日延誤的美國航班數量？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "3月29日延誤的美國航班數量？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月29日延誤的美國航班數量？" is "少於6,000" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6,000-6,500" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月29日延誤的美國航班數量？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.