Trader consensus on Polymarket centers tightly around 17.5-18.5 million TSA-screened passengers for March 23-29, reflecting elevated spring break travel volumes amid record daily throughput reports exceeding 2.4 million mid-week, yet tempered by Easter weekend timing shifts and variable weather patterns. Recent TSA data shows March 24-26 peaks near 2.5-2.6 million, surpassing 2023 levels, driven by strong domestic leisure demand and airline capacity growth, but weekend projections remain uncertain due to holiday scheduling and minor cancellations. This balance keeps top bins neck-and-neck; separation could arise from final Saturday-Sunday screenings or DOT flight stats, with upside risks from clear weather boosting last-minute trips.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於18-18.5m 41%
17.5-18m 37%
18.5-19m 19%
<17.5m 18%
$17,896 交易量
$17,896 交易量
<17.5m
18%
17.5-18m
37%
18-18.5m
41%
18.5-19m
19%
19-19.5m
16%
>19.5m
16%
18-18.5m 41%
17.5-18m 37%
18.5-19m 19%
<17.5m 18%
$17,896 交易量
$17,896 交易量
<17.5m
18%
17.5-18m
37%
18-18.5m
41%
18.5-19m
19%
19-19.5m
16%
>19.5m
16%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers tightly around 17.5-18.5 million TSA-screened passengers for March 23-29, reflecting elevated spring break travel volumes amid record daily throughput reports exceeding 2.4 million mid-week, yet tempered by Easter weekend timing shifts and variable weather patterns. Recent TSA data shows March 24-26 peaks near 2.5-2.6 million, surpassing 2023 levels, driven by strong domestic leisure demand and airline capacity growth, but weekend projections remain uncertain due to holiday scheduling and minor cancellations. This balance keeps top bins neck-and-neck; separation could arise from final Saturday-Sunday screenings or DOT flight stats, with upside risks from clear weather boosting last-minute trips.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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