Trader consensus favors 2.8 million to 3.0 million TSA-screened passengers on March 20 at 51% implied probability, driven by sustained spring break travel surges that pushed daily throughput to record levels earlier in the week, including 2.98 million on March 16 and 2.79 million on March 19 per official TSA data. The 2.6 million to 2.8 million range at 38.5% reflects slight moderation from peak weekend volumes amid favorable weather and no major disruptions, while lower buckets account for historical March norms below 2.5 million pre-surge. Upcoming Easter holiday on March 31 supports elevated expectations, though airline schedules and last-minute cancellations introduce uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2.8M-3.0M 45%
2.6M-2.8M 41%
2.4M-2.6M 18%
3.0M-3.2M 5%
<2.4M
2%
2.4M-2.6M
14%
2.6M-2.8M
41%
2.8M-3.0M
45%
3.0M-3.2M
5%
>3.2M
1%
2.8M-3.0M 45%
2.6M-2.8M 41%
2.4M-2.6M 18%
3.0M-3.2M 5%
<2.4M
2%
2.4M-2.6M
14%
2.6M-2.8M
41%
2.8M-3.0M
45%
3.0M-3.2M
5%
>3.2M
1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市場開放時間: Mar 17, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 2.8 million to 3.0 million TSA-screened passengers on March 20 at 51% implied probability, driven by sustained spring break travel surges that pushed daily throughput to record levels earlier in the week, including 2.98 million on March 16 and 2.79 million on March 19 per official TSA data. The 2.6 million to 2.8 million range at 38.5% reflects slight moderation from peak weekend volumes amid favorable weather and no major disruptions, while lower buckets account for historical March norms below 2.5 million pre-surge. Upcoming Easter holiday on March 31 supports elevated expectations, though airline schedules and last-minute cancellations introduce uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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