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政治·國土安全

國土安全部關機何時結束？

Market icon
政治·國土安全

國土安全部關機何時結束？

Ended: 3月 31

4月 30

Ended: 3月 31

4月 30

3月31日之後 100.0%

2026年2月16日之前 <1%

2月16日至19日 <1%

2月20日至23日 <1%

Polymarket

$1,667,440 交易量

3月31日之後 100.0%

2026年2月16日之前 <1%

2月16日至19日 <1%

2月20日至23日 <1%

Polymarket

$1,667,440 交易量

2026年2月16日之前

$13,653 交易量

否

2月16日至19日

$26,041 交易量

否

2月20日至23日

$65,698 交易量

否

2 月 24-27 日

$70,334 交易量

否

2月28日-3月3日

$59,864 交易量

否

3月4日至7日

$0 交易量

否

3月8日至11日

$0 交易量

否

3月12日至15日

$0 交易量

否

3月16日至19日

$0 交易量

否

3月20日至23日

$0 交易量

否

3月24日至27日

$192,078 交易量

否

3月28日至31日

$111,354 交易量

否

3月31日之後

$1,128,420 交易量

是

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, triggered by congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, extended beyond March 31 after the Senate's March 27 bill—excluding those operations—failed in the House, and a rival House continuing resolution stalled in the Senate. With both chambers in recess until April 13-14, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus (100%) that resolution falls after March 31, driven by repeated blocked proposals and no floor votes in the final days. President Trump's executive order paying TSA workers mitigated some airport chaos but did not end the lapse. Realistic challenges include a surprise bipartisan deal upon reconvening or further executive action, though historical shutdown patterns suggest prolonged stalemate absent compromise on reforms.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,667,440
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Feb 15, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, triggered by congressional disputes over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and CBP, extended beyond March 31 after the Senate's March 27 bill—excluding those operations—failed in the House, and a rival House continuing resolution stalled in the Senate. With both chambers in recess until April 13-14, traders reflect near-unanimous consensus (100%) that resolution falls after March 31, driven by repeated blocked proposals and no floor votes in the final days. President Trump's executive order paying TSA workers mitigated some airport chaos but did not end the lapse. Realistic challenges include a surprise bipartisan deal upon reconvening or further executive action, though historical shutdown patterns suggest prolonged stalemate absent compromise on reforms.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,667,440
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Feb 15, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"國土安全部關機何時結束？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "3月31日之後" at 100%, followed by "2026年2月16日之前" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "國土安全部關機何時結束？" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "國土安全部關機何時結束？," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "國土安全部關機何時結束？" is "3月31日之後" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年2月16日之前" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "國土安全部關機何時結束？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.