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Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?

Market icon

Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 27

0% chance
Polymarket

$21 交易量

0% chance
Polymarket

$21 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Traders price "Yes" at 53% for over 450 US flight cancellations on March 27, reflecting uncertainty over severe weather forecasts across the Midwest and Northeast, including high winds up to 50 mph and thunderstorms disrupting hubs like Chicago O'Hare, Denver, and Atlanta. Yesterday saw around 350 cancellations nationwide due to lingering effects from recent nor'easters and mechanical delays at major carriers like United and Delta, but spring break demand and improving conditions have kept numbers below the threshold lately. The close contest hinges on real-time storm tracks—if FAA ground stops or airport closures escalate midday, totals could surpass 450; otherwise, proactive airline scheduling may cap disruptions below that mark, with FlightAware data providing the decisive updates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$21
結束日期
Mar 27, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Traders price "Yes" at 53% for over 450 US flight cancellations on March 27, reflecting uncertainty over severe weather forecasts across the Midwest and Northeast, including high winds up to 50 mph and thunderstorms disrupting hubs like Chicago O'Hare, Denver, and Atlanta. Yesterday saw around 350 cancellations nationwide due to lingering effects from recent nor'easters and mechanical delays at major carriers like United and Delta, but spring break demand and improving conditions have kept numbers below the threshold lately. The close contest hinges on real-time storm tracks—if FAA ground stops or airport closures escalate midday, totals could surpass 450; otherwise, proactive airline scheduling may cap disruptions below that mark, with FlightAware data providing the decisive updates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$21
結束日期
Mar 27, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:09 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 53% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 53¢, the market collectively assigns a 53% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?" is 53% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 53% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.