柏林州選舉獲勝者

Name: 柏林州選舉獲勝者
Start: 2025-12-02T11:48:44.072Z
End: 2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z

柏林州選舉獲勝者 — 討論

ISnortGlue · 2025-12-02T11:48:44.072Z

關於柏林州選舉獲勝者的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

政治·全球選舉

柏林州選舉獲勝者

基民盟 55%

綠黨 12.6%

AfD 10.2%

Linke 10%

$2,552,924 交易量

2026-09-20

基民盟

$11,771 交易量

55%

綠黨

$24,052 交易量

13%

AfD

$2,182,556 交易量

10%

Linke

$9,544 交易量

10%

SPD

$286,332 交易量

BSW

$22,381 交易量

$6,736 交易量

<1%

FDP

$9,553 交易量

<1%

基民盟 55%

綠黨 12.6%

AfD 10.2%

Linke 10%

$2,552,924 交易量

2026-09-20

基民盟

$11,771 交易量

55%

綠黨

$24,052 交易量

13%

AfD

$2,182,556 交易量

10%

Linke

$9,544 交易量

10%

SPD

$286,332 交易量

BSW

$22,381 交易量

$6,736 交易量

<1%

FDP

$9,553 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"柏林州選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "基民盟" at 55%, followed by "綠黨" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "柏林州選舉獲勝者" has generated $2.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "柏林州選舉獲勝者," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "柏林州選舉獲勝者" is "基民盟" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "綠黨" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "柏林州選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "柏林州選舉獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $2.6 million traded on “柏林州選舉獲勝者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "柏林州選舉獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 55¢ for "基民盟" in the "柏林州選舉獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 55% chance that "基民盟" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 55¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 45¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "柏林州選舉獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Sep 20, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "柏林州選舉獲勝者" market has a growing discussion of 7 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "柏林州選舉獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

柏林州選舉獲勝者

柏林州選舉獲勝者

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評論 (7)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "柏林州選舉獲勝者" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "柏林州選舉獲勝者" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "柏林州選舉獲勝者"?

What are the current odds for "柏林州選舉獲勝者"?

How will "柏林州選舉獲勝者" be resolved?

Can I follow "柏林州選舉獲勝者" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "柏林州選舉獲勝者" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "柏林州選舉獲勝者"?

What does a price of 55¢ for "基民盟" mean?

When does the "柏林州選舉獲勝者" market close?

What are traders saying about "柏林州選舉獲勝者"?

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