Market icon
世界·世界選舉

匈牙利下任首相

Market icon
世界·世界選舉

匈牙利下任首相

馬吉爾·彼得 66%

歐爾班·維克多 34%

伊什特萬·卡皮塔尼 <1%

拉斯洛·托羅茨凱 <1%

Polymarket

$43,961,660 交易量

馬吉爾·彼得 66%

歐爾班·維克多 34%

伊什特萬·卡皮塔尼 <1%

拉斯洛·托羅茨凱 <1%

Polymarket

$43,961,660 交易量

Market icon

馬吉爾·彼得

$5,654,391 交易量

66%

Market icon

歐爾班·維克多

$5,500,304 交易量

34%

Market icon

伊什特萬·卡皮塔尼

$10,179,285 交易量

<1%

Market icon

拉斯洛·托羅茨凱

$12,282,511 交易量

<1%

Market icon

拉扎爾·雅諾什

$5,836,065 交易量

<1%

Market icon

克拉拉·多布列夫

$4,509,458 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Péter Magyar at 65.5% to become Hungary's next prime minister after the April 12 parliamentary election, driven by recent polls showing his centre-right Tisza party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz among decided and likely voters. Surveys from 21 Research Center (April 1) and Medián (late March) indicate Tisza at 56-58% versus Fidesz 35-37%, a 19-23 point gap up from earlier margins, with gains in Fidesz strongholds, urban areas, and among under-30s amid economic dissatisfaction after 16 years of Orbán rule. Government pollsters show tighter races including undecideds, but opposition momentum from Magyar—a former Orbán insider turned pro-EU nationalist challenger—has unified anti-Fidesz forces. In the mixed-member proportional system, the party securing the most National Assembly seats nominates the prime minister, with high turnout and final-week campaigning as key variables.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$43,961,660
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Péter Magyar at 65.5% to become Hungary's next prime minister after the April 12 parliamentary election, driven by recent polls showing his centre-right Tisza party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz among decided and likely voters. Surveys from 21 Research Center (April 1) and Medián (late March) indicate Tisza at 56-58% versus Fidesz 35-37%, a 19-23 point gap up from earlier margins, with gains in Fidesz strongholds, urban areas, and among under-30s amid economic dissatisfaction after 16 years of Orbán rule. Government pollsters show tighter races including undecideds, but opposition momentum from Magyar—a former Orbán insider turned pro-EU nationalist challenger—has unified anti-Fidesz forces. In the mixed-member proportional system, the party securing the most National Assembly seats nominates the prime minister, with high turnout and final-week campaigning as key variables.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$43,961,660
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"匈牙利下任首相" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "馬吉爾·彼得" at 66%, followed by "歐爾班·維克多" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "匈牙利下任首相" has generated $44 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "匈牙利下任首相," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "匈牙利下任首相" is "馬吉爾·彼得" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "歐爾班·維克多" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "匈牙利下任首相" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.