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世界·全球選舉

梅克倫堡-前波美拉尼亞議會選舉贏家

Market icon
世界·全球選舉

梅克倫堡-前波美拉尼亞議會選舉贏家

AfD 85%

SPD 10%

FDP <1%

林克黨 <1%

Polymarket

$172,872 交易量

AfD 85%

SPD 10%

FDP <1%

林克黨 <1%

Polymarket

$172,872 交易量

Market icon

AfD

$4,825 交易量

85%

Market icon

SPD

$33,134 交易量

10%

Market icon

FDP

$31,852 交易量

1%

Market icon

林克黨

$5,705 交易量

1%

Market icon

BSW

$10,061 交易量

1%

Market icon

基民盟

$25,478 交易量

1%

Market icon

綠黨

$43,260 交易量

<1%

Market icon

FW

$18,556 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD at 84.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election on September 20, 2026, driven by its consistent double-digit polling leads in recent Sonntagsfragen. The latest INSA poll for Nordkurier (March 6–16) shows AfD at 34%, ahead of SPD's 26% by eight points, CDU at 12%, Die Linke at 10%, and BSW, Grüne, FDP each around 3–5%—echoing Forsa (37% AfD, February) and Infratest dimap (35% AfD, January) results. No major developments in the past 30 days have narrowed the gap, reinforcing AfD's dominance under the mixed-member proportional system amid stable eastern German voter trends, with SPD as distant runner-up and coalition firewalls limiting post-election options.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$172,872
結束日期
2026-09-20
市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD at 84.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election on September 20, 2026, driven by its consistent double-digit polling leads in recent Sonntagsfragen. The latest INSA poll for Nordkurier (March 6–16) shows AfD at 34%, ahead of SPD's 26% by eight points, CDU at 12%, Die Linke at 10%, and BSW, Grüne, FDP each around 3–5%—echoing Forsa (37% AfD, February) and Infratest dimap (35% AfD, January) results. No major developments in the past 30 days have narrowed the gap, reinforcing AfD's dominance under the mixed-member proportional system amid stable eastern German voter trends, with SPD as distant runner-up and coalition firewalls limiting post-election options.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$172,872
結束日期
2026-09-20
市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"梅克倫堡-前波美拉尼亞議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AfD" at 85%, followed by "SPD" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "梅克倫堡-前波美拉尼亞議會選舉贏家" has generated $172.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "梅克倫堡-前波美拉尼亞議會選舉贏家," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "梅克倫堡-前波美拉尼亞議會選舉贏家" is "AfD" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "SPD" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "梅克倫堡-前波美拉尼亞議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.