Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 54.5% to become Sweden's next prime minister, reflecting recent opinion polls where her Social Democrats lead with around 33% support ahead of the September 13, 2026, general election. Ulf Kristersson's Moderates trail at 17-18%, with Sweden Democrats at 21%, positioning the incumbent PM at 35.5% as polls show the left bloc slightly ahead of the Tidö right-wing parties in seat projections. Kristersson's April 1 announcement to form a majority government including Sweden Democrats in ministerial roles, including immigration, aims to consolidate right-wing support amid Liberal Party shifts, but has drawn opposition criticism without shifting polling leads. Jimmie Åkesson and others lag due to coalition dynamics favoring larger parties for the premiership.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於馬格達萊娜·安德松 55%
烏爾夫·克里斯特松 39%
Jimmie Åkesson 4.2%
埃巴·布希 1.8%
$1,723,983 交易量
$1,723,983 交易量

馬格達萊娜·安德松
55%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松
39%

Jimmie Åkesson
4%

埃巴·布希
2%

阿曼達·林德
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼爾·赫爾登
<1%

伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特
<1%
馬格達萊娜·安德松 55%
烏爾夫·克里斯特松 39%
Jimmie Åkesson 4.2%
埃巴·布希 1.8%
$1,723,983 交易量
$1,723,983 交易量

馬格達萊娜·安德松
55%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松
39%

Jimmie Åkesson
4%

埃巴·布希
2%

阿曼達·林德
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼爾·赫爾登
<1%

伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 54.5% to become Sweden's next prime minister, reflecting recent opinion polls where her Social Democrats lead with around 33% support ahead of the September 13, 2026, general election. Ulf Kristersson's Moderates trail at 17-18%, with Sweden Democrats at 21%, positioning the incumbent PM at 35.5% as polls show the left bloc slightly ahead of the Tidö right-wing parties in seat projections. Kristersson's April 1 announcement to form a majority government including Sweden Democrats in ministerial roles, including immigration, aims to consolidate right-wing support amid Liberal Party shifts, but has drawn opposition criticism without shifting polling leads. Jimmie Åkesson and others lag due to coalition dynamics favoring larger parties for the premiership.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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