Next President of Benin

Name: Next President of Benin
Start: 2026-03-19T23:26:04.924Z
End: 2026-04-12T00:00:00.000Z

選舉·世界選舉

Next President of Benin

NEW

Apr 12, 2026

Romuald Wadagni

$83 交易量

88%

Paul Hounkpè

$100 交易量

11%

NEW

Apr 12, 2026

Romuald Wadagni

$83 交易量

88%

Paul Hounkpè

$100 交易量

11%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Incumbent President Patrice Talon's endorsement of Romuald Wadagni as his successor drives the 88.5% trader consensus for the technocratic finance minister in Benin's April 2026 presidential election, signaling continuity amid economic growth and ruling Union Progressiste dominance. Wadagni's July 2024 candidacy announcement, following his role in fiscal reforms, bolsters his lead over National Assembly President Paul Hounkpè at 11%, a fellow party insider lacking similar executive backing. Recent April 2024 legislative elections delivered the ruling bloc an absolute majority, curbing opposition influence after prior constitutional changes limited challengers. Traders price in low upset risk ahead of potential party primaries, though court challenges or economic shifts could alter dynamics.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 21, 2026, 5:16 PM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next President of Benin" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Romuald Wadagni" at 88%, followed by "Paul Hounkpè" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Next President of Benin" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Next President of Benin," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next President of Benin" is "Romuald Wadagni" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paul Hounkpè" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next President of Benin" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Next President of Benin." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Next President of Benin” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Next President of Benin," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 88¢ for "Romuald Wadagni" in the "Next President of Benin" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 88% chance that "Romuald Wadagni" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 88¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 12¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Next President of Benin" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 12, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Next President of Benin" market has a growing discussion of 2 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Next President of Benin." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Next President of Benin

Next President of Benin

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盤口背景

盤口背景

評論 (2)

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