Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1320-1359 tweets (10.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's April 2026 X activity, mirroring March's resolved 1320-1359 total from XTracker data, which averaged roughly 43 posts daily amid steady engagement on Grok AI upgrades and political commentary. Recent 24-48 hours show no pace disruption, with 38-40 daily averages holding firm per ongoing weekly markets like April 2-4 (frontrunning 90-114), but tight competition across 1200-1439 bins (top five totaling ~33%) reflects uncertainty over monthly variance driven by viral moments, xAI announcements, or external news cycles. Key swing factors include daily XTracker syncs and sub-market resolutions through late April, testing if his consistent high-volume posting endures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於1320-1359 10.4%
1400-1439 7.7%
1360-1399 7.4%
1080-1119 7.4%
$4,654,959 交易量
$4,654,959 交易量
少於20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
5%
960-999
4%
1000-1039
4%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
7%
1120-1159
7%
1160-1199
6%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
6%
1320-1359
10%
1360-1399
7%
1400-1439
8%
1440-1479
5%
1480-1519
4%
1520-1559
3%
1560-1599
2%
1600-1679
3%
1680-1759
4%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000條以上
1%
1320-1359 10.4%
1400-1439 7.7%
1360-1399 7.4%
1080-1119 7.4%
$4,654,959 交易量
$4,654,959 交易量
少於20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
5%
960-999
4%
1000-1039
4%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
7%
1120-1159
7%
1160-1199
6%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
6%
1320-1359
10%
1360-1399
7%
1400-1439
8%
1440-1479
5%
1480-1519
4%
1520-1559
3%
1560-1599
2%
1600-1679
3%
1680-1759
4%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000條以上
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1320-1359 tweets (10.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's April 2026 X activity, mirroring March's resolved 1320-1359 total from XTracker data, which averaged roughly 43 posts daily amid steady engagement on Grok AI upgrades and political commentary. Recent 24-48 hours show no pace disruption, with 38-40 daily averages holding firm per ongoing weekly markets like April 2-4 (frontrunning 90-114), but tight competition across 1200-1439 bins (top five totaling ~33%) reflects uncertainty over monthly variance driven by viral moments, xAI announcements, or external news cycles. Key swing factors include daily XTracker syncs and sub-market resolutions through late April, testing if his consistent high-volume posting endures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions