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2026年票房最高的電影?

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2026年票房最高的電影?

蜘蛛人:全新一天 48%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影 28%

復仇者聯盟:末日審判 13%

奧德賽 4.0%

Polymarket

$2,788,434 交易量

蜘蛛人:全新一天 48%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影 28%

復仇者聯盟:末日審判 13%

奧德賽 4.0%

Polymarket

$2,788,434 交易量

蜘蛛人:全新一天

$112,055 交易量

48%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影

$106,908 交易量

28%

復仇者聯盟:末日審判

$164,333 交易量

13%

奧德賽

$338,168 交易量

4%

玩具總動員5

$146,644 交易量

3%

麥可

$565,829 交易量

2%

星際大戰:曼達洛人與格羅古

$109,650 交易量

1%

沙丘:彌賽亞

$199,469 交易量

1%

飢餓遊戲:收割初曦

$219,998 交易量

1%

呼嘯山莊

$125,137 交易量

<1%

救援任務:海爾瑪麗號

$178,314 交易量

<1%

野蠻遊戲3

$73,644 交易量

<1%

魔法壞女巫:永誌難忘

$354,801 交易量

<1%

驚聲尖叫7

$93,525 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 47.5% implied probability for 2026's highest grosser, propelled by its record-shattering trailer debut two weeks ago—718 million views in 24 hours, surpassing Deadpool & Wolverine—igniting massive presale buzz and MCU momentum for the July 31 release, where Tom Holland's Peter Parker returns amid high fan anticipation post-No Way Home's $1.9 billion haul. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie follows at 27.5%, boosted by scorching opening weekend tracking for $350 million globally this week, leveraging Illumination/Nintendo's family draw after the prior film's billion-dollar smash. Avengers: Doomsday lingers at 12.5% on late-December event-film hype despite Dune: Part Three clash, with Mario's debut results as the key near-term swing factor amid volatile box office dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$2,788,434
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 47.5% implied probability for 2026's highest grosser, propelled by its record-shattering trailer debut two weeks ago—718 million views in 24 hours, surpassing Deadpool & Wolverine—igniting massive presale buzz and MCU momentum for the July 31 release, where Tom Holland's Peter Parker returns amid high fan anticipation post-No Way Home's $1.9 billion haul. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie follows at 27.5%, boosted by scorching opening weekend tracking for $350 million globally this week, leveraging Illumination/Nintendo's family draw after the prior film's billion-dollar smash. Avengers: Doomsday lingers at 12.5% on late-December event-film hype despite Dune: Part Three clash, with Mario's debut results as the key near-term swing factor amid volatile box office dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$2,788,434
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年票房最高的電影?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蜘蛛人:全新一天" at 48%, followed by "超級瑪利歐銀河電影" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年票房最高的電影?" has generated $2.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年票房最高的電影?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年票房最高的電影?" is "蜘蛛人:全新一天" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "超級瑪利歐銀河電影" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年票房最高的電影?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.