2026年票房最高的電影？

Name: 2026年票房最高的電影？
Start: 2025-11-12T16:59:24.341Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

2026年票房最高的電影？

12月 31

蜘蛛人：全新一天 48%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影 28%

復仇者聯盟：末日審判 13%

奧德賽 4.0%

$2,788,434 交易量

2026-12-31

蜘蛛人：全新一天

$112,055 交易量

48%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影

$106,908 交易量

28%

復仇者聯盟：末日審判

$164,333 交易量

13%

奧德賽

$338,168 交易量

玩具總動員5

$146,644 交易量

麥可

$565,829 交易量

星際大戰：曼達洛人與格羅古

$109,650 交易量

沙丘：彌賽亞

$199,469 交易量

飢餓遊戲：收割初曦

$219,998 交易量

呼嘯山莊

$125,137 交易量

<1%

救援任務：海爾瑪麗號

$178,314 交易量

<1%

野蠻遊戲3

$73,644 交易量

<1%

魔法壞女巫：永誌難忘

$354,801 交易量

<1%

驚聲尖叫7

$93,525 交易量

<1%

蜘蛛人：全新一天 48%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影 28%

復仇者聯盟：末日審判 13%

奧德賽 4.0%

$2,788,434 交易量

2026-12-31

蜘蛛人：全新一天

$112,055 交易量

48%

超級瑪利歐銀河電影

$106,908 交易量

28%

復仇者聯盟：末日審判

$164,333 交易量

13%

奧德賽

$338,168 交易量

玩具總動員5

$146,644 交易量

麥可

$565,829 交易量

星際大戰：曼達洛人與格羅古

$109,650 交易量

沙丘：彌賽亞

$199,469 交易量

飢餓遊戲：收割初曦

$219,998 交易量

呼嘯山莊

$125,137 交易量

<1%

救援任務：海爾瑪麗號

$178,314 交易量

<1%

野蠻遊戲3

$73,644 交易量

<1%

魔法壞女巫：永誌難忘

$354,801 交易量

<1%

驚聲尖叫7

$93,525 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年票房最高的電影？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蜘蛛人：全新一天" at 48%, followed by "超級瑪利歐銀河電影" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年票房最高的電影？" has generated $2.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年票房最高的電影？," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年票房最高的電影？" is "蜘蛛人：全新一天" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "超級瑪利歐銀河電影" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年票房最高的電影？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2026年票房最高的電影？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $2.8 million traded on “2026年票房最高的電影？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2026年票房最高的電影？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 48¢ for "蜘蛛人：全新一天" in the "2026年票房最高的電影？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 48% chance that "蜘蛛人：全新一天" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 48¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 52¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2026年票房最高的電影？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "2026年票房最高的電影？" market has an active community of 55 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2026年票房最高的電影？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2026年票房最高的電影？

2026年票房最高的電影？

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Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 48¢ for "蜘蛛人：全新一天" mean?

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