Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Kanye West's 'Bully' debuting with 150k-175k first-week album-equivalent units at 53.5% implied probability, reflecting mid-week tracking data that has tempered earlier Hits Daily Double projections of 250k-275k. Strong streaming metrics—33-50 million Spotify streams on day one, the platform's biggest hip-hop debut of 2026—bolster the total, but pure sales forecasts hover around 100k amid limited radio play, no major label promo via YZY/Gamma, and mixed reviews questioning production quality and AI use. Recent Vultures albums' 100k-150k debuts provide historical precedent, with <150k close behind at 39.5% as backlash risks cap upside; final Billboard 200 figures expected next week could shift dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Kanye West「欺負」第一週專輯銷售? (下擊)
Kanye West「欺負」第一週專輯銷售? (下擊)
150k-175k 54%
少於 15 萬 39%
175k-200k 7%
200k-225k 4.1%
少於 15 萬
39%
150k-175k
54%
175k-200k
7%
200k-225k
4%
225k-250k
<1%
25萬-27.5萬
4%
27.5萬-30萬
4%
30萬+
2%
150k-175k 54%
少於 15 萬 39%
175k-200k 7%
200k-225k 4.1%
少於 15 萬
39%
150k-175k
54%
175k-200k
7%
200k-225k
4%
225k-250k
<1%
25萬-27.5萬
4%
27.5萬-30萬
4%
30萬+
2%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市場開放時間: Mar 30, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Kanye West's 'Bully' debuting with 150k-175k first-week album-equivalent units at 53.5% implied probability, reflecting mid-week tracking data that has tempered earlier Hits Daily Double projections of 250k-275k. Strong streaming metrics—33-50 million Spotify streams on day one, the platform's biggest hip-hop debut of 2026—bolster the total, but pure sales forecasts hover around 100k amid limited radio play, no major label promo via YZY/Gamma, and mixed reviews questioning production quality and AI use. Recent Vultures albums' 100k-150k debuts provide historical precedent, with <150k close behind at 39.5% as backlash risks cap upside; final Billboard 200 figures expected next week could shift dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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