Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？

Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

260-279 12%

280-299 12%

300-319 12%

320-339 11%

Polymarket
NEW

$1,448,676 交易量

260-279 12%

280-299 12%

300-319 12%

320-339 11%

Polymarket
NEW

$1,448,676 交易量

少於20條

$16,497 交易量

<1%

20-39

$1,373,692 交易量

<1%

40-59

$18,553 交易量

<1%

60-79

$18,559 交易量

<1%

80-99

$16,846 交易量

<1%

100-119

$4,322 交易量

<1%

120-139

$5,093 交易量

<1%

140-159

$1,005 交易量

<1%

160-179

$1,813 交易量

1%

180-199

$1,632 交易量

2%

200-219

$1,411 交易量

6%

220-239

$2,349 交易量

7%

240-259

$1,775 交易量

10%

260-279

$1,824 交易量

12%

280-299

$2,367 交易量

12%

300-319

$1,607 交易量

12%

320-339

$1,598 交易量

11%

340-359

$1,933 交易量

9%

360-379

$1,402 交易量

8%

380-399

$2,485 交易量

5%

400-419

$1,698 交易量

4%

420-439

$1,500 交易量

3%

440-459

$2,132 交易量

2%

460-479

$2,498 交易量

1%

480-499

$1,794 交易量

1%

500-519

$2,984 交易量

<1%

520-539

$2,058 交易量

<1%

540-559

$8,106 交易量

<1%

560-579

$8,778 交易量

<1%

580+

$8,918 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon's recent X posting slowdown, with the prior week (March 20-27) resolving at 260-279 posts—down from 320-339 the week before—amid fluctuating daily volumes like 83 on March 22, 36 on March 24, and 67 on March 26, averaging under 40 per day during routine SpaceX test tank moves and Tesla Optimus buzz. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered at 11.5% across 260-319, capturing uncertainty from his variable habits driven by political commentary, xAI teases, or meme-worthy replies. No breaking catalysts in the last 48 hours, but Cybercab production slated to begin early April could spark a volume surge if Musk announces updates, potentially tipping toward higher bins.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon's recent X posting slowdown, with the prior week (March 20-27) resolving at 260-279 posts—down from 320-339 the week before—amid fluctuating daily volumes like 83 on March 22, 36 on March 24, and 67 on March 26, averaging under 40 per day during routine SpaceX test tank moves and Tesla Optimus buzz. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered at 11.5% across 260-319, capturing uncertainty from his variable habits driven by political commentary, xAI teases, or meme-worthy replies. No breaking catalysts in the last 48 hours, but Cybercab production slated to begin early April could spark a volume surge if Musk announces updates, potentially tipping toward higher bins.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon's recent X posting slowdown, with the prior week (March 20-27) resolving at 260-279 posts—down from 320-339 the week before—amid fluctuating daily volumes like 83 on March 22, 36 on March 24, and 67 on March 26, averaging under 40 per day during routine SpaceX test tank moves and Tesla Optimus buzz. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered at 11.5% across 260-319, capturing uncertainty from his variable habits driven by political commentary, xAI teases, or meme-worthy replies. No breaking catalysts in the last 48 hours, but Cybercab production slated to begin early April could spark a volume surge if Musk announces updates, potentially tipping toward higher bins.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon's recent X posting slowdown, with the prior week (March 20-27) resolving at 260-279 posts—down from 320-339 the week before—amid fluctuating daily volumes like 83 on March 22, 36 on March 24, and 67 on March 26, averaging under 40 per day during routine SpaceX test tank moves and Tesla Optimus buzz. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered at 11.5% across 260-319, capturing uncertainty from his variable habits driven by political commentary, xAI teases, or meme-worthy replies. No breaking catalysts in the last 48 hours, but Cybercab production slated to begin early April could spark a volume surge if Musk announces updates, potentially tipping toward higher bins.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "260-279" at 12%, followed by "280-299" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？" is "260-279" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "280-299" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.